Leveraged position math

Crypto liquidation price calculator

Compute the liquidation price of a long or a short, in isolated or cross margin, then read that distance against the moves the token has actually recorded.

Every price is embedded at build time from a cross checked market snapshot. The calculation stays in your browser and no market data request is made from this page.

Interactive tool

Compute the liquidation level

Prices embedded

Direction
Margin mode

The maintenance requirement is applied to the entry notional. Funding payments, the venue mark price method, closing fees and slippage are all outside this model.

Liquidation price, long
$75,368.40
Distance from entry
9.5%
Distance in dollars
$7,911.60
Margin lost at liquidation
$95.00
Token quantity
0.01200768
Position notional
$1,000.00
Initial margin
$100.00
Maintenance requirement
$5.00
Free balance counted
$0.00
Highest leverage that clears every window
2x

What BTC has already done

The position is liquidated after a move of 9.5% against it. These are the measured changes Bitcoin recorded in the five windows the source serves, with the sign kept so the direction is visible and the absolute size compared against the liquidation distance.

2 of the 5 windows with a reading already contain a move at least as large as the liquidation distance.

Measured price changes for Bitcoin against the liquidation distance
WindowChangeSizeAgainst the distance
24 hour-3.4%3.4%Did not reach it
7 day-1.9%1.9%Did not reach it
30 day+4.5%4.5%Did not reach it
200 day+17.2%17.2%Reached 9.5%
1 year-33.1%33.1%Reached 9.5%
From all-time high-33.9%33.9%Reached 9.5%

All-time high $126,080.00 on 2025-10-06. A past move of a given size is a record of what happened. It is not a probability that the same move repeats.

How often the whole universe already moved that far

At 10x the liquidation distance is 9.5%. This counts the non stablecoin tokens in the embedded snapshot whose measured 30 day change was at least that large, in either direction. It is a backward looking frequency over one window, not a probability that a future position is liquidated.

112 of 212 tokens moved at least 9.5% over the measured 30 day window, which is 52.83% of the tokens with a reading. 0 tokens were excluded because the source served no 30 day change for them.

Largest measured 30 day moves in the embedded universe
TokenChangeReached the distance
QNTQuant+262.9%Yes
PRLPearl+260.1%Yes
BTWBitway+171.8%Yes
DRVDerive+120%Yes
BRBedrock+115.1%Yes
NEARNEAR Protocol+110.1%Yes
RAYRaydium+108%Yes
NIGHTMidnight+98.3%Yes
GRASSGrass+93.5%Yes
BPBackpack+88.4%Yes
SUPERSuperVerse+84.1%Yes
ZROLayerZero+81.8%Yes
SANDThe Sandbox+81.6%Yes
ORCAOrca+79.2%Yes
SENTSentient+75.5%Yes
AIOZAIOZ Network+73.6%Yes
CARDSCollector Crypt+73.1%Yes
STONKSTONK+68.8%Yes
AKEAkedo+68%Yes
BEAMBeam+60.9%Yes
SHXStronghold+56.4%Yes
METMeteora+54.9%Yes
STRKStarknet+53.7%Yes
PONSPons-50.3%Yes

The table lists the 24 largest absolute moves in this window. The counts above cover every token in the snapshot, not only the listed rows.

Early Thunder research on BTC

Dated research snapshot,

Composite score
183 of 250
Verdict
HOLD CORE
Exchange depth sub score
10 of 10

The universe median exchange depth sub score is 5 of 10. Thin depth is the mechanism that turns one forced close into a cascade, because the liquidation engine sells into a book that cannot absorb it and the next position down the ladder is hit by the print that follows.

Dated source check

Build snapshot behind this page

Fetched

The build fetched the market rows, dropped the flagged stablecoins, and embedded what was left in the page. The browser reads the embedded copy and makes no market data request of its own.

Rows returned
249
Flagged stablecoins
37
Tokens embedded here
212
Rows cross checked
184
Worst price spread
0.899%
Matched to the research file
109

Endpoints and dates

Prices, all-time highs and the five change windows come from the CoinGecko markets endpoint. A second read of CoinPaprika cross checked 184 of those rows and the worst price spread between the two providers was 0.899 percent. The score, verdict and exchange depth readings come from Early Thunder's own 251 token research file, a dated snapshot generated on 2026-09-18 and not a live figure.

How a liquidation price is derived

A perpetual position starts with a notional value and a posted margin. The margin is the notional divided by the leverage, so a 1,000 dollar position at 10x rests on 100 dollars. As the price moves against the position the unrealised loss eats that margin. The venue does not wait for the margin to reach zero. It closes the position once the remaining equity falls to the maintenance requirement, which is a small percentage of the notional set by the venue and usually stepped by position size.

Setting the unrealised loss equal to the posted margin minus the maintenance requirement and solving for price gives the level below. The direction of the trade only flips the sign. The distance itself is the same either way, which is why a short at 10x sits as far above entry as a long at 10x sits below it.

initial margin = notional / leverage
maintenance requirement = notional * rate
long liquidation = entry * (1 - 1/leverage + rate)
short liquidation = entry * (1 + 1/leverage - rate)
distance = 1/leverage - rate
cross margin adds free balance / notional to the distance

That last term is the whole of the isolated and cross difference in this model. Isolated margin ring fences the posted amount, so the distance is fixed by the leverage and the rate alone. Cross margin puts the free wallet balance behind the position, which pushes the level further away while that balance lasts. The calculator asks for the free balance in cross mode because there is no honest way to compute the level without it.

The number every other calculator stops at

Search this term and the tools that come back all return the same arithmetic. Enter an entry price and a leverage, receive a liquidation price and a distance in percent. That distance is correct. It is also almost useless on its own, because 9.1 percent means nothing until you know what the asset in front of you does in a week.

So this page puts the distance next to the record. For the selected token it shows the measured 24 hour, 7 day, 30 day, 200 day and 1 year changes, plus the current drawdown from the all-time high, and it counts how many of those readings are already at least as large as the liquidation distance you just created. When the answer is four out of five, the leverage setting has stopped being an abstraction. The move that closes the position is not hypothetical for that asset. It is in the record, and it happened inside a window shorter than most people hold for.

The count reads the absolute size of each change, so an upward move counts against a short and a downward move counts against a long, and a window with no reading is excluded rather than filled in. CoinGecko does not serve a 90 day window on this endpoint, so no 90 day figure appears anywhere on the page.

Reading the survival count honestly

The second table widens the question from one token to the whole embedded set. For the leverage on screen it takes the liquidation distance and asks, across the 212 non stablecoin tokens in the snapshot, how many of them recorded a move at least that large over the chosen window. The count and the denominator are both printed, and the tokens the source gave no reading for are reported as an explicit exclusion rather than being quietly dropped from the base.

That share is a backward looking frequency over a single window ending on the fetch date. It says how common a move of that size was among these assets in that window. It is not a probability that a position opened today gets closed out, and nothing here should be read that way. The sample is one point in time and the assets in it are the ones large enough to sit near the top of the market today, which is its own selection effect.

The calculator also solves the question in reverse. Given the largest absolute move the selected token made across those windows, it reports the highest leverage whose liquidation distance still clears that move. That figure is frequently in the low single digits, and for a token that halved over a year it can fall below 1x, in which case the tool says so rather than rounding up to something reassuring.

Why exchange depth belongs next to a liquidation level

A liquidation is a market order the position holder does not get to place. The engine has to sell into whatever book exists at that moment, and on a thin book that sale moves the price further, which reaches the next stop below, which sells again. That feedback is why liquidation clusters arrive as cascades rather than as single prints, and why the same leverage carries a different practical risk on a deep pair than on a thin one.

Early Thunder scores 251 tokens across 25 variables, and one of them is exchange depth. The panel joins the selected token to that file on its ticker and prints the composite score, the verdict and the exchange depth sub score against the universe median, with an explicit not scored state when the token has no row. The file was generated on 2026-09-18, so it is a dated research snapshot and the depth reading describes the venues as they were then. The full methodology is on the methodology page, and every scored token has its own page in the scorecard.

Matching is on the ticker symbol, the weakest join available in this market. Tickers are reused across chains and reassigned after rebrands, so a match is evidence and not proof. This build matched 109 of the 212 embedded tokens.

Where this calculation breaks

Funding is the first gap. A perpetual pays or collects funding every few hours, and on an isolated position that payment comes out of the same margin the liquidation level is computed from. A long paying funding through a flat market watches its liquidation price drift up towards the mark without the price having moved at all. This model takes a single snapshot and applies no funding, so it understates the level on a position held for days.

The mark price is the second. Venues do not liquidate on the last trade. They liquidate on a mark that is usually an index of several spot venues, sometimes smoothed by a moving average or a funding basis term. A wick on one exchange that never touches the index will not close the position, and an index that lags a genuine move will close it late. The level here is computed against the entry price you enter, which is a different quantity from the venue mark.

Fees and slippage are the third. The forced close pays a taker fee and often a separate liquidation penalty, and it executes wherever the book allows rather than at the computed level. On a thin pair the realised close is worse than the arithmetic, which is exactly when the depth reading matters most. Cross margin is the fourth. Once the account is cross, the whole balance stands behind every open position, so the real level depends on every other position you hold and moves whenever any of them does. The free balance field models one moment of that, not its path.

The maintenance rate is the fifth. Venues tier it by position size, and the rate here is whatever you type, applied to the entry notional rather than to the notional at the liquidation level. That is the common simplification and not the exact venue formula, so check the tier table for the contract before trusting a level from any calculator, this one included.

Risk warning

A leveraged position can lose the entire margin behind it, and on a cross margin account that margin is the whole balance. Liquidation is not a stop loss and it does not return the remainder in an orderly way. This page is research and data analysis, not investment advice and not a recommendation to open any position. If the survival count above shows that the asset routinely moves further than your liquidation distance, that is the finding, and no setting on this page changes it.

About the author

Built and checked by Michael Lip

Michael Lip builds and operates the Early Thunder research engine end to end. He wrote this calculator because the liquidation distance and the asset's own price record belong on the same screen. For fee aware entry and exit math on a spot trade, see the crypto profit calculator. View his GitHub profile.

Site-wide disclosures

  • Research and data analysis only. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
  • Crypto assets are volatile and you can lose the entire amount you put in.
  • Scores measure fundamentals as recorded on the stated date. They do not predict price.
  • Every figure carries the timestamp it was fetched. Prices move continuously and the number on the page may already be out of date.
  • The operator may hold positions in assets covered on this site. See the portfolio page.