ARB vs PAXG
Arbitrum and PAX Gold scored on the same 25 variables, ranked against the same 251 tokens, with every gap between them shown.
Scoring pass 18 Sept 2026. Market snapshot 7 Oct 2026.
What separates them
ARB scores 134 of 250 and ranks 42nd of 251. PAXG scores 141 and ranks 30th. PAXG leads by 7 points, which is inside the range where the individual variables matter more than the total. ARB takes 11 of the 25 variables, PAXG takes 11, and 3 are level.
The framework rates ARB CAUTIOUS HOLD and PAXG HOLD. Two tokens close enough to compare do not have to land in the same band, and where they do not, the divergence table below is where the split comes from.
5 variables separate them by 3 points or more. ARB is clear on Developer Activity (8 against 3). PAXG is clear on Vesting Schedule (10 against 3), Circulating / FDV Ratio (10 against 5) and Supply Inflation (8 against 4).
Both score 3 or below on Buyback and Burn, Real Staking Yield. A weakness both sides share is not a reason to prefer either. It is a reason to check whether the category itself carries the problem.
ARB still has 32.1% of its eventual supply to enter circulation against 0.3% for PAXG. On the same market capitalisation, a buyer of ARB is taking the 1.47x dilution path and a buyer of PAXG the 1x one.
PAXG is valued at $1.79B against $1.25B for ARB, a 1.4x difference. The larger of the two also scores higher, so the market and the framework agree on the ordering here.
ARB trades 92.3% below its all-time high and PAXG 26.7% below its own. Recovering the high needs 13x from ARB and 1.4x from PAXG, which is the same statement read as the return each one has to produce.
All 25 variables, head to head
Both tokens were scored by the same framework in the same pass, so the numbers are directly comparable. What a comparison adds over two separate pages is the gap: a 6 against a 6 is a non-event, a 9 against a 3 is the reason to hold one and not the other.
Cash flow
| Protocol Revenue | 3 | 4 | PAXG +1 | |
| Revenue Trend | 5 | 4 | ARB +1 | |
| P/S Multiple | 4 | 5 | PAXG +1 | |
| Real Staking Yield | 2 | 2 | level |
Supply
| Supply Inflation | 4 | 8 | PAXG +4 | |
| Vesting Schedule | 3 | 10 | PAXG +7 | |
| Circulating / FDV Ratio | 5 | 10 | PAXG +5 | |
| Buyback and Burn | 3 | 2 | ARB +1 |
Ownership
| Smart Money Flows | 6 | 6 | level | |
| Insider Selling | 4 | 8 | PAXG +4 | |
| Holder Concentration | 5 | 5 | level |
Traction
| TVL Trend | 6 | 5 | ARB +1 | |
| Active Users | 7 | 4 | ARB +3 | |
| Developer Activity | 8 | 3 | ARB +5 | |
| Network Growth | 7 | 4 | ARB +3 |
Position
| Market Share | 8 | 7 | ARB +1 | |
| Competitive Moat | 5 | 7 | PAXG +2 | |
| Institutional Adoption | 6 | 7 | PAXG +1 | |
| Exchange Depth | 7 | 6 | ARB +1 | |
| Social Mindshare | 6 | 4 | ARB +2 |
Risk
| Regulatory Safety | 7 | 8 | PAXG +1 | |
| Catalyst Calendar | 6 | 3 | ARB +3 | |
| BTC Alpha Potential | 4 | 5 | PAXG +1 | |
| Team Execution | 7 | 6 | ARB +1 | |
| Treasury Runway | 6 | 8 | PAXG +2 |
Bars read outward from the centre: ARB to the left, PAXG to the right. The side that leads a variable is filled. Each score is 1 to 10 against the same definition applied to all 251 rated tokens.
Market and supply
| ARB | PAXG | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $0.1840 | $4,118 |
| Market cap | $1.25B | $1.79B |
| Circulating | 67.9% | 99.7% |
| Dilution to full supply | 1.47x | 1x |
| Off all-time high | -92.3% | -26.7% |
| To recover the high | 13x | 1.4x |
| Total value locked | $2.20B | not published |
| Network | Arbitrum | Ethereum |
Price, market cap and all-time high from the CoinGecko snapshot fetched 7 Oct 2026. Supply shares are derived from circulating and eventual supply counts, which do not move with price. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 18 Sept 2026.
Catalyst and risk on each side
ARB · CAUTIOUS HOLD
BOLD dispute resolution upgrade; Stylus enabling Rust/C++ smart contracts expanding developer base
42% circulating with significant investor releases remaining; sequencer revenue not well-accrued to ARB token holders
PAXG · HOLD
Gold near $4,380/oz in August 2026 after a record high in January 2026, with continued central-bank buying.
Paxos trust company insolvency or loss of its NYDFS trust charter would break gold redemption peg.
Common questions
- Is ARB or PAXG the better investment?
- On this framework PAXG scores higher: 141 against 134 of 250, and it is rated HOLD against CAUTIOUS HOLD. That is a ranking of fundamentals as recorded at the last scoring pass, not a price forecast, and ARB still wins 11 of the 25 individual variables against PAXG.
- What is the biggest difference between ARB and PAXG?
- Vesting Schedule. ARB scores 3 of 10 there and PAXG scores 10, a gap of 7 points on a single variable.
- Which is bigger, ARB or PAXG?
- ARB is valued at $1.25B and PAXG at $1.79B on the latest market snapshot.
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Research and analysis, not investment advice. A higher score is one framework applied consistently to 251 tokens, not a prediction that one asset will outperform the other.