RAY vs SOL
Raydium and Solana scored on the same 25 variables, ranked against the same 251 tokens, with every gap between them shown.
Scoring pass 18 Sept 2026. Market snapshot 7 Oct 2026.
What separates them
RAY scores 129 of 250 and ranks 46th of 251. SOL scores 170 and ranks 6th. SOL leads by 41 points, which is a wide enough margin that the framework is not ambivalent. RAY takes 5 of the 25 variables, SOL takes 18, and 2 are level.
The framework rates RAY CAUTIOUS HOLD and SOL HOLD. Two tokens close enough to compare do not have to land in the same band, and where they do not, the divergence table below is where the split comes from.
5 variables separate them by 3 points or more. SOL is clear on Smart Money Flows (8 against 4), Institutional Adoption (7 against 3) and Exchange Depth (9 against 5).
RAY still has 51.4% of its eventual supply to enter circulation against 7.3% for SOL. On the same market capitalisation, a buyer of RAY is taking the 2.06x dilution path and a buyer of SOL the 1.08x one.
SOL is valued at $68.57B against $670.5M for RAY, a 102.3x difference. The larger of the two also scores higher, so the market and the framework agree on the ordering here.
RAY trades 85.2% below its all-time high and SOL 60.3% below its own. Recovering the high needs 6.8x from RAY and 2.5x from SOL, which is the same statement read as the return each one has to produce.
All 25 variables, head to head
Both tokens were scored by the same framework in the same pass, so the numbers are directly comparable. What a comparison adds over two separate pages is the gap: a 6 against a 6 is a non-event, a 9 against a 3 is the reason to hold one and not the other.
Cash flow
| Protocol Revenue | 6 | 7 | SOL +1 | |
| Revenue Trend | 4 | 5 | SOL +1 | |
| P/S Multiple | 6 | 5 | RAY +1 | |
| Real Staking Yield | 4 | 7 | SOL +3 |
Supply
| Supply Inflation | 7 | 5 | RAY +2 | |
| Vesting Schedule | 9 | 7 | RAY +2 | |
| Circulating / FDV Ratio | 6 | 7 | SOL +1 | |
| Buyback and Burn | 7 | 4 | RAY +3 |
Ownership
| Smart Money Flows | 4 | 8 | SOL +4 | |
| Insider Selling | 6 | 5 | RAY +1 | |
| Holder Concentration | 5 | 5 | level |
Traction
| TVL Trend | 5 | 7 | SOL +2 | |
| Active Users | 7 | 7 | level | |
| Developer Activity | 5 | 8 | SOL +3 | |
| Network Growth | 6 | 8 | SOL +2 |
Position
| Market Share | 5 | 8 | SOL +3 | |
| Competitive Moat | 4 | 7 | SOL +3 | |
| Institutional Adoption | 3 | 7 | SOL +4 | |
| Exchange Depth | 5 | 9 | SOL +4 | |
| Social Mindshare | 5 | 9 | SOL +4 |
Risk
| Regulatory Safety | 3 | 6 | SOL +3 | |
| Catalyst Calendar | 4 | 8 | SOL +4 | |
| BTC Alpha Potential | 3 | 6 | SOL +3 | |
| Team Execution | 5 | 8 | SOL +3 | |
| Treasury Runway | 5 | 7 | SOL +2 |
Bars read outward from the centre: RAY to the left, SOL to the right. The side that leads a variable is filled. Each score is 1 to 10 against the same definition applied to all 251 rated tokens.
Market and supply
| RAY | SOL | |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $2.48 | $116.37 |
| Market cap | $670.5M | $68.57B |
| Circulating | 48.6% | 92.7% |
| Dilution to full supply | 2.06x | 1.08x |
| Off all-time high | -85.2% | -60.3% |
| To recover the high | 6.8x | 2.5x |
| Total value locked | $1.00B | $8.50B |
| Network | Solana | Solana |
Price, market cap and all-time high from the CoinGecko snapshot fetched 7 Oct 2026. Supply shares are derived from circulating and eventual supply counts, which do not move with price. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 18 Sept 2026.
Catalyst and risk on each side
RAY · CAUTIOUS HOLD
Solana memecoin cycle revival could 3-5x volume overnight
PumpSwap directly forked revenue model, anonymous team, Q1 2026 revenue -76% from Q3 2025
SOL · HOLD
Spot SOL ETFs live since October 2025, so the open question is flows rather than approval; Firedancer live on mainnet with stake-weighted adoption still ramping
Continued VC vesting pressure; centralization concerns with validator concentration
Common questions
- Is RAY or SOL the better investment?
- On this framework SOL scores higher: 170 against 129 of 250, and it is rated HOLD against CAUTIOUS HOLD. That is a ranking of fundamentals as recorded at the last scoring pass, not a price forecast, and RAY still wins 5 of the 25 individual variables against SOL.
- What is the biggest difference between RAY and SOL?
- Smart Money Flows. RAY scores 4 of 10 there and SOL scores 8, a gap of 4 points on a single variable.
- Which is bigger, RAY or SOL?
- RAY is valued at $670.5M and SOL at $68.57B on the latest market snapshot.
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Research and analysis, not investment advice. A higher score is one framework applied consistently to 251 tokens, not a prediction that one asset will outperform the other.