PASS

Alpaca Finance (ALPACA)

Leveraged yield farming protocol on BNB Chain.

Ranked 167th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
95/250
167th of 251
Percentile
33.9%
of the rated universe
Circulating
80.7%
19.3% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-99.993%
14,286x to recover
BNB ChainBEP-20+95 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

ALPACA scores 95 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 167th of 251 rated tokens and inside the lower half of the set. The framework verdict is PASS.

The score rests on Real Staking Yield 5/10, 37th of 251, P/S Multiple 5/10, 38th of 251, Buyback and Burn 4/10, 40th of 251 and Insider Selling 5/10, 42nd of 251.

Against the same universe, ALPACA sits in the bottom third on Regulatory Safety 4/10, 213th of 251, Institutional Adoption 2/10, 192nd of 251 and Treasury Runway 4/10, 181st of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 80.7% of ALPACA's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.24x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 19.3% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

ALPACA trades 99.993% below its all-time high of $8.78. Recovering that level is a 14,286x move, not a 99.993% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 95 points against the previous pass (0 to 95). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for ALPACA, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
460th of 251
Revenue Trend
3117th of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for ALPACA, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
4146th of 251
Vesting Schedule
5100th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
688th of 251
Buyback and Burn
440th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for ALPACA, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
3149th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for ALPACA, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
3111th of 251
Active Users
3149th of 251
Developer Activity
4158th of 251
Network Growth
3156th of 251

Position

Position variables for ALPACA, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
3131st of 251
Competitive Moat
3175th of 251
Institutional Adoption
2192nd of 251
Exchange Depth
4157th of 251
Social Mindshare
3157th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for ALPACA, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
4213th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
3158th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
445th of 251
Team Execution
4147th of 251
Treasury Runway
4181st of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Leveraged yield farming on BNB Chain with cross-chain expansion

Principal risk

Smart contract risk and liquidation cascades in volatile markets

04

Market and supply

Price$0.000598
Market cap$90.7Krank 5911
All-time high$8.785 Mar 2021
Circulating supply151,666,351
Eventual supply (max supply)188,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.24x
Listed onBinance, PancakeSwap, KuCoin

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to ALPACA measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Alpaca Finance (ALPACA)?
ALPACA scores 95 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 167th of 251 rated tokens (lower half). The framework verdict is PASS.
What are ALPACA's strongest fundamentals?
ALPACA ranks highest on Real Staking Yield 5/10, 37th of 251, P/S Multiple 5/10, 38th of 251, Buyback and Burn 4/10, 40th of 251 and Insider Selling 5/10, 42nd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the ALPACA thesis?
ALPACA scores in the bottom third of the universe on Regulatory Safety 4/10, 213th of 251, Institutional Adoption 2/10, 192nd of 251 and Treasury Runway 4/10, 181st of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Smart contract risk and liquidation cascades in volatile markets
How much ALPACA supply is still to enter circulation?
80.7% of eventual ALPACA supply is circulating today, leaving 1.24x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 19.3% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is ALPACA from its all-time high?
ALPACA trades 99.993% below its all-time high of $8.78. Returning to that high requires a 14,286x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to ALPACA?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to ALPACA are FARM (93), BADGER (100), BOND (82) and KNC (110). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for ALPACA?
Leveraged yield farming on BNB Chain with cross-chain expansion

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.