HOLD

BNB (BNB)

Binance exchange utility token with quarterly burns. Highly tied to Binance CEX health and regulatory outcome.

Ranked 27th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
144/250
27th of 251
Percentile
89.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
66.6%
33.4% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-56.7%
2.3x to recover
BNB ChainNative L1-4 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

BNB scores 144 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 27th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.

BNB is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Buyback and Burn 9/10, 2nd of 251, Exchange Depth 8/10, 5th of 251, BTC Alpha Potential 6/10, 6th of 251 and Active Users 7/10, 8th of 251.

Against the same universe, BNB sits in the bottom third on Regulatory Safety 2/10, 247th of 251 and Holder Concentration 3/10, 197th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 66.6% of BNB's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.5x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 33.4% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

BNB is 56.7% off its all-time high of $1,370, a 2.3x round trip from here.

$5.20B sits in the protocol. Each dollar of value locked carries 15.18 dollars of token market cap.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for BNB, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
710th of 251
Revenue Trend
532nd of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for BNB, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
726th of 251
Vesting Schedule
735th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
746th of 251
Buyback and Burn
92nd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for BNB, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
548th of 251
Insider Selling
4151st of 251
Holder Concentration
3197th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for BNB, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
530th of 251
Active Users
78th of 251
Developer Activity
583rd of 251
Network Growth
632nd of 251

Position

Position variables for BNB, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
636th of 251
Competitive Moat
629th of 251
Institutional Adoption
536th of 251
Exchange Depth
85th of 251
Social Mindshare
711th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for BNB, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
2247th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
550th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
66th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
711th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Binance regulatory settlements complete; BNB Chain network expansion into Southeast Asia

Principal risk

Binance regulatory tail risk remains; CZ plea deal overhang; centralized chain perception

04

Market and supply

Price$592.73
Market cap$78.92Brank 4
All-time high$1,37013 Oct 2025
Circulating supply133,164,659
Eventual supply (max supply)200,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.5x
Total value locked$5.20B
Listed onBinance, OKX, Bybit, KuCoin

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to BNB measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [Binance Blog] Binance burned over 2.3M BNB in Q1 2026 quarterly burn
  • [DOJ] CZ received 4-month prison sentence for BSA violations in 2024
  • [DeFiLlama] BNB Chain TVL stabilized around $5B in early 2026
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for BNB (BNB)?
BNB scores 144 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 27th of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is HOLD.
What are BNB's strongest fundamentals?
BNB ranks highest on Buyback and Burn 9/10, 2nd of 251, Exchange Depth 8/10, 5th of 251, BTC Alpha Potential 6/10, 6th of 251 and Active Users 7/10, 8th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the BNB thesis?
BNB scores in the bottom third of the universe on Regulatory Safety 2/10, 247th of 251 and Holder Concentration 3/10, 197th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Binance regulatory tail risk remains; CZ plea deal overhang; centralized chain perception
How much BNB supply is still to enter circulation?
66.6% of eventual BNB supply is circulating today, leaving 1.5x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 33.4% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is BNB from its all-time high?
BNB trades 56.7% below its all-time high of $1,370. Returning to that high requires a 2.3x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to BNB?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to BNB are OKB (145), GT (123), BGB (135) and KCS (119). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for BNB?
Binance regulatory settlements complete; BNB Chain network expansion into Southeast Asia

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.