WATCH

Convex Finance (CVX)

Curve vote-locking meta-protocol that captured the Curve Wars era but faces structural decline as veCRV yields compress and DeFi rotates away

Ranked 124th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
103/250
124th of 251
Percentile
51%
of the rated universe
Circulating
100%
0% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-97.5%
40x to recover
EthereumERC-20+4 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

CVX scores 103 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 124th of 251 rated tokens and inside the upper half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

The score rests on Vesting Schedule 7/10, 35th of 251, Real Staking Yield 5/10, 37th of 251, P/S Multiple 5/10, 38th of 251 and Supply Inflation 6/10, 43rd of 251.

100% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for CVX. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

CVX trades 97.5% below its all-time high of $60.09. Recovering that level is a 40x move, not a 97.5% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

$850.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for CVX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
460th of 251
Revenue Trend
3117th of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for CVX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
643rd of 251
Vesting Schedule
735th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
746th of 251
Buyback and Burn
363rd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for CVX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
3149th of 251
Insider Selling
4151st of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for CVX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
3111th of 251
Active Users
3149th of 251
Developer Activity
4158th of 251
Network Growth
3156th of 251

Position

Position variables for CVX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
487th of 251
Competitive Moat
3175th of 251
Institutional Adoption
3115th of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
3157th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for CVX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
652nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
3158th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
4147th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Curve network revival if stablecoin volumes recover

Principal risk

CVX value entirely derived from CRV bribe economics which are in secular decline; no independent utility

04

Market and supply

Price$1.52
Market cap$151.5Mrank 202
All-time high$60.091 Jan 2022
Circulating supply99,978,084
Eventual supply (max supply)100,000,000
Dilution to full supply1x
Total value locked$850.0M
Listed onBinance, Bybit, Uniswap

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to CVX measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [DeFiLlama] Convex TVL has dropped from $20B+ peak to ~$850M as Curve Wars dynamics faded
  • [Llama Airforce] CVX weekly bribe revenues have fallen 80%+ from 2022 peak levels
  • [CoinGecko] CVX is down 97% from ATH with no credible independent revenue stream
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Convex Finance (CVX)?
CVX scores 103 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 124th of 251 rated tokens (upper half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are CVX's strongest fundamentals?
CVX ranks highest on Vesting Schedule 7/10, 35th of 251, Real Staking Yield 5/10, 37th of 251, P/S Multiple 5/10, 38th of 251 and Supply Inflation 6/10, 43rd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
How much CVX supply is still to enter circulation?
100% of eventual CVX supply is circulating today, leaving 1x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 0% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is CVX from its all-time high?
CVX trades 97.5% below its all-time high of $60.09. Returning to that high requires a 40x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to CVX?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to CVX are QTUM (61), BAND (73), SUSHI (74) and ANKR (96). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for CVX?
Curve network revival if stablecoin volumes recover

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.