PASS

Flow (FLOW)

Dapper Labs chain built for NFTs (NBA TopShot); NFT market collapse destroyed its primary use case

Ranked 221st of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
78/250
221st of 251
Percentile
12.4%
of the rated universe
Circulating
100%
0% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-99.936%
1,563x to recover
FlowNative L1
01

What the numbers say

FLOW scores 78 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 221st of 251 rated tokens and inside the bottom quartile of the set. The framework verdict is PASS.

The score rests on Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251, Real Staking Yield 5/10, 37th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 7/10, 46th of 251 and Holder Concentration 4/10, 58th of 251.

Against the same universe, FLOW sits in the bottom third on Active Users 1/10, 243rd of 251, Competitive Moat 1/10, 242nd of 251, BTC Alpha Potential 1/10, 240th of 251 and Social Mindshare 2/10, 230th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

100% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for FLOW. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

FLOW trades 99.936% below its all-time high of $42.40. Recovering that level is a 1,563x move, not a 99.936% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

$28.0M sits in the protocol. Each dollar of value locked carries 1.63 dollars of token market cap.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for FLOW, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
2166th of 251
Revenue Trend
2191st of 251
P/S Multiple
3182nd of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for FLOW, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
4146th of 251
Vesting Schedule
5100th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
746th of 251
Buyback and Burn
1205th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for FLOW, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
2217th of 251
Insider Selling
3201st of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for FLOW, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
2189th of 251
Active Users
1243rd of 251
Developer Activity
3208th of 251
Network Growth
2215th of 251

Position

Position variables for FLOW, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
2203rd of 251
Competitive Moat
1242nd of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
2230th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for FLOW, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
717th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
3158th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
1240th of 251
Team Execution
3208th of 251
Treasury Runway
4181st of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Flow EVM compatibility could attract new DeFi developers; Dapper Labs has institutional relationships

Principal risk

Core NFT use case (TopShot) declined 95%+ in volume; Dapper Labs laid off 20%+ staff; limited DeFi TVL

04

Market and supply

Price$0.0271
Market cap$45.5Mrank 450
All-time high$42.405 Apr 2021
Circulating supply1,680,701,533
Eventual supply (total supply)1,680,701,533
Dilution to full supply1x
Total value locked$28.0M
Listed onBinance, Kraken, Coinbase

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to FLOW measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [CoinGecko] Flow ATH $42.40 in Apr 2021; now 99.9% below ATH with NBA TopShot volume collapsed
  • [The Block] Dapper Labs laid off 22% of staff in 2023 as NFT revenues collapsed
  • [Flow Docs] Flow EVM mainnet launched in 2024 attempting to attract Solidity developers
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Flow (FLOW)?
FLOW scores 78 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 221st of 251 rated tokens (bottom quartile). The framework verdict is PASS.
What are FLOW's strongest fundamentals?
FLOW ranks highest on Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251, Real Staking Yield 5/10, 37th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 7/10, 46th of 251 and Holder Concentration 4/10, 58th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the FLOW thesis?
FLOW scores in the bottom third of the universe on Active Users 1/10, 243rd of 251, Competitive Moat 1/10, 242nd of 251, BTC Alpha Potential 1/10, 240th of 251 and Social Mindshare 2/10, 230th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Core NFT use case (TopShot) declined 95%+ in volume; Dapper Labs laid off 20%+ staff; limited DeFi TVL
How much FLOW supply is still to enter circulation?
100% of eventual FLOW supply is circulating today, leaving 1x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 0% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is FLOW from its all-time high?
FLOW trades 99.936% below its all-time high of $42.40. Returning to that high requires a 1,563x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to FLOW?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to FLOW are XTZ (88), ZIL (63), BAND (73) and ONE (48). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for FLOW?
Flow EVM compatibility could attract new DeFi developers; Dapper Labs has institutional relationships

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.