WATCH

Monero (XMR)

Privacy-focused L1. Ring signatures + stealth addresses. Not on Binance/Coinbase.

Ranked 77th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
117/250
77th of 251
Percentile
69.7%
of the rated universe
Circulating
100%
0% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-54.4%
2.2x to recover
MoneroNative L1+117 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

XMR scores 117 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 77th of 251 rated tokens and inside the upper half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

XMR is a top-10 name in the set on 3 variables. The score rests on Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251, Insider Selling 7/10, 8th of 251, Holder Concentration 5/10, 10th of 251 and BTC Alpha Potential 5/10, 13th of 251.

Against the same universe, XMR sits in the bottom third on Regulatory Safety 2/10, 247th of 251, Real Staking Yield 2/10, 199th of 251 and Institutional Adoption 2/10, 192nd of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

100% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for XMR. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

XMR is 54.4% off its all-time high of $797.73, a 2.2x round trip from here.

The framework score gained 117 points against the previous pass (0 to 117). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for XMR, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
398th of 251
Revenue Trend
3117th of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
2199th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for XMR, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
561st of 251
Vesting Schedule
821st of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
827th of 251
Buyback and Burn
2114th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for XMR, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
493rd of 251
Insider Selling
78th of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for XMR, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
3111th of 251
Active Users
538th of 251
Developer Activity
633rd of 251
Network Growth
4100th of 251

Position

Position variables for XMR, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
720th of 251
Competitive Moat
85th of 251
Institutional Adoption
2192nd of 251
Exchange Depth
4157th of 251
Social Mindshare
541st of 251

Risk

Risk variables for XMR, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
2247th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
3158th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
513th of 251
Team Execution
630th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Privacy demand post-BTC ETF; mandatory ring signatures upgrade in 2025

Principal risk

Global regulatory bans (e.g., UAE, Japan); exchange delistings reduce liquidity

04

Market and supply

Price$363.90
Market cap$6.84Brank 17
All-time high$797.7314 Jan 2026
Circulating supply18,787,723
Eventual supply (total supply)18,787,752
Dilution to full supply1x
Listed onKraken, KuCoin, Huobi

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to XMR measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Monero (XMR)?
XMR scores 117 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 77th of 251 rated tokens (upper half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are XMR's strongest fundamentals?
XMR ranks highest on Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251, Insider Selling 7/10, 8th of 251, Holder Concentration 5/10, 10th of 251 and BTC Alpha Potential 5/10, 13th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the XMR thesis?
XMR scores in the bottom third of the universe on Regulatory Safety 2/10, 247th of 251, Real Staking Yield 2/10, 199th of 251 and Institutional Adoption 2/10, 192nd of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Global regulatory bans (e.g., UAE, Japan); exchange delistings reduce liquidity
How much XMR supply is still to enter circulation?
100% of eventual XMR supply is circulating today, leaving 1x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 0% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is XMR from its all-time high?
XMR trades 54.4% below its all-time high of $797.73. Returning to that high requires a 2.2x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to XMR?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to XMR are CHZ (120), ZEC (101), RAD (97) and POOL (96). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for XMR?
Privacy demand post-BTC ETF; mandatory ring signatures upgrade in 2025

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.