WATCH

Compound (COMP)

OG DeFi lender with real protocol revenue but P/S ~112x makes valuation deeply stretched at current price.

Ranked 71st of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
119/250
71st of 251
Percentile
72.1%
of the rated universe
Circulating
100%
0% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-98.1%
52.6x to recover
EthereumERC-20+9 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

COMP scores 119 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 71st of 251 rated tokens and inside the upper half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

COMP is a top-10 name in the set on 3 variables. The score rests on Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 9/10, 10th of 251 and Vesting Schedule 8/10, 21st of 251.

Against the same universe, COMP sits in the bottom third on P/S Multiple 2/10, 218th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

100% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for COMP. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

COMP trades 98.1% below its all-time high of $854.45. Recovering that level is a 52.6x move, not a 98.1% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 9 points against the previous pass (110 to 119). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$1.90B sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for COMP, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
398th of 251
Revenue Trend
471st of 251
P/S Multiple
2218th of 251
Real Staking Yield
3143rd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for COMP, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
88th of 251
Vesting Schedule
821st of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
910th of 251
Buyback and Burn
2114th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for COMP, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
548th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for COMP, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
530th of 251
Active Users
491st of 251
Developer Activity
583rd of 251
Network Growth
4100th of 251

Position

Position variables for COMP, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
3131st of 251
Competitive Moat
3175th of 251
Institutional Adoption
626th of 251
Exchange Depth
637th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for COMP, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
86th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
490th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Compound III multi-chain expansion and potential governance fee switch

Principal risk

Extremely high P/S ratio (~112x) with declining market share vs Aave; COMP token captures minimal protocol value

04

Market and supply

Price$16.29
Market cap$162.9Mrank 186
All-time high$854.4511 May 2021
Circulating supply10,000,000
Eventual supply (max supply)10,000,000
Dilution to full supply1x
Total value locked$1.90B
Listed onBinance, Coinbase, Kraken, Uniswap

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to COMP measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [DeFiLlama] Compound V3 TVL ~$1.9B across Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum as of May 2026
  • [Token Terminal] COMP protocol revenue vs token market cap implies ~112x P/S ratio
  • [CoinGecko] COMP ATH of $911 reached May 2021 during DeFi summer peak
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Compound (COMP)?
COMP scores 119 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 71st of 251 rated tokens (upper half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are COMP's strongest fundamentals?
COMP ranks highest on Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 9/10, 10th of 251 and Vesting Schedule 8/10, 21st of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the COMP thesis?
COMP scores in the bottom third of the universe on P/S Multiple 2/10, 218th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Extremely high P/S ratio (~112x) with declining market share vs Aave; COMP token captures minimal protocol value
How much COMP supply is still to enter circulation?
100% of eventual COMP supply is circulating today, leaving 1x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 0% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is COMP from its all-time high?
COMP trades 98.1% below its all-time high of $854.45. Returning to that high requires a 52.6x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to COMP?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to COMP are IOTA (78), MANA (66), MATIC (110) and SAND (58). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for COMP?
Compound III multi-chain expansion and potential governance fee switch

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.