Litecoin (LTC)
Bitcoin's silver analog with fourth halving complete. No smart contracts, no DeFi, diminishing developer interest. Payments use case losing to stablecoins.
Ranked 129th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.
What the numbers say
LTC scores 102 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 129th of 251 rated tokens and inside the lower half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.
LTC is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Exchange Depth 8/10, 5th of 251, Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251 and Vesting Schedule 9/10, 8th of 251.
Against the same universe, LTC sits in the bottom third on TVL Trend 1/10, 229th of 251, Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251, P/S Multiple 2/10, 218th of 251 and Network Growth 2/10, 215th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.
92.2% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for LTC. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.
LTC trades 88.9% below its all-time high of $410.26. Recovering that level is a 9x move, not a 88.9% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.
The framework score gained 5 points against the previous pass (97 to 102). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.
25-variable breakdown
Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.
Cash flow
| Protocol Revenue | 2 | 166th of 251 | |
| Revenue Trend | 2 | 191st of 251 | |
| P/S Multiple | 2 | 218th of 251 | |
| Real Staking Yield | 1 | 226th of 251 |
Supply
| Supply Inflation | 7 | 26th of 251 | |
| Vesting Schedule | 9 | 8th of 251 | |
| Circulating / FDV Ratio | 8 | 27th of 251 | |
| Buyback and Burn | 1 | 205th of 251 |
Ownership
| Smart Money Flows | 3 | 149th of 251 | |
| Insider Selling | 7 | 8th of 251 | |
| Holder Concentration | 6 | 1st of 251 |
Traction
| TVL Trend | 1 | 229th of 251 | |
| Active Users | 4 | 91st of 251 | |
| Developer Activity | 3 | 208th of 251 | |
| Network Growth | 2 | 215th of 251 |
Position
| Market Share | 3 | 131st of 251 | |
| Competitive Moat | 3 | 175th of 251 | |
| Institutional Adoption | 4 | 71st of 251 | |
| Exchange Depth | 8 | 5th of 251 | |
| Social Mindshare | 4 | 86th of 251 |
Risk
| Regulatory Safety | 8 | 6th of 251 | |
| Catalyst Calendar | 3 | 158th of 251 | |
| BTC Alpha Potential | 2 | 200th of 251 | |
| Team Execution | 4 | 147th of 251 | |
| Treasury Runway | 5 | 74th of 251 |
The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.
Catalyst and risk
Catalyst on the scorecard
Spot LTC ETF application in pipeline; halving supply cut in August 2023
The August 2023 item has already passed. This was written as forward-looking at the 11 Jun 2026 scoring pass, so read those parts as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.
Principal risk
Zero DeFi network; payment use case obsoleted by stablecoins; declining relevance
Market and supply
| Price | $45.66 |
| Market cap | $3.54Brank 27 |
| All-time high | $410.2610 May 2021 |
| Circulating supply | 77,466,229 |
| Eventual supply (max supply) | 84,000,000 |
| Dilution to full supply | 1.08x |
| Listed on | Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bybit |
Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.
Tokens with a similar profile
These are the closest matches to LTC measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.
Sources
- [Litecoin Foundation] Litecoin completed its fourth halving in August 2023 reducing block reward to 6.25 LTC
- [DeFiLlama] Litecoin has no DeFi network or smart contract functionality
- [Canary Capital] Litecoin ETF application filed with SEC in 2025
Common questions
- What is the Early Thunder score for Litecoin (LTC)?
- LTC scores 102 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 129th of 251 rated tokens (lower half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
- What are LTC's strongest fundamentals?
- LTC ranks highest on Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Exchange Depth 8/10, 5th of 251, Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251 and Vesting Schedule 9/10, 8th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
- What are the weakest parts of the LTC thesis?
- LTC scores in the bottom third of the universe on TVL Trend 1/10, 229th of 251, Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251, P/S Multiple 2/10, 218th of 251 and Network Growth 2/10, 215th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Zero DeFi network; payment use case obsoleted by stablecoins; declining relevance
- How much LTC supply is still to enter circulation?
- 92.2% of eventual LTC supply is circulating today, leaving 1.08x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 7.8% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
- How far is LTC from its all-time high?
- LTC trades 88.9% below its all-time high of $410.26. Returning to that high requires a 9x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
- Which tokens have a similar profile to LTC?
- Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to LTC are IOTA (78), MANA (66), WAXP (81) and AGLD (86). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
- What catalyst was LTC scored against?
- Spot LTC ETF application in pipeline; halving supply cut in August 2023 This was written as forward-looking when the scoring pass ran. The August 2023 item has since passed, so read that part as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.
Keep reading
Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.