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Litecoin (LTC)

Bitcoin's silver analog with fourth halving complete. No smart contracts, no DeFi, diminishing developer interest. Payments use case losing to stablecoins.

Ranked 129th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
102/250
129th of 251
Percentile
49%
of the rated universe
Circulating
92.2%
7.8% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-88.9%
9x to recover
LitecoinNative L1+5 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

LTC scores 102 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 129th of 251 rated tokens and inside the lower half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

LTC is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Exchange Depth 8/10, 5th of 251, Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251 and Vesting Schedule 9/10, 8th of 251.

Against the same universe, LTC sits in the bottom third on TVL Trend 1/10, 229th of 251, Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251, P/S Multiple 2/10, 218th of 251 and Network Growth 2/10, 215th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

92.2% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for LTC. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

LTC trades 88.9% below its all-time high of $410.26. Recovering that level is a 9x move, not a 88.9% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 5 points against the previous pass (97 to 102). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for LTC, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
2166th of 251
Revenue Trend
2191st of 251
P/S Multiple
2218th of 251
Real Staking Yield
1226th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for LTC, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
726th of 251
Vesting Schedule
98th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
827th of 251
Buyback and Burn
1205th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for LTC, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
3149th of 251
Insider Selling
78th of 251
Holder Concentration
61st of 251

Traction

Traction variables for LTC, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
1229th of 251
Active Users
491st of 251
Developer Activity
3208th of 251
Network Growth
2215th of 251

Position

Position variables for LTC, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
3131st of 251
Competitive Moat
3175th of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
85th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for LTC, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
86th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
3158th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
2200th of 251
Team Execution
4147th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Catalyst on the scorecard

Spot LTC ETF application in pipeline; halving supply cut in August 2023

The August 2023 item has already passed. This was written as forward-looking at the 11 Jun 2026 scoring pass, so read those parts as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Principal risk

Zero DeFi network; payment use case obsoleted by stablecoins; declining relevance

04

Market and supply

Price$45.66
Market cap$3.54Brank 27
All-time high$410.2610 May 2021
Circulating supply77,466,229
Eventual supply (max supply)84,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.08x
Listed onBinance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bybit

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to LTC measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [Litecoin Foundation] Litecoin completed its fourth halving in August 2023 reducing block reward to 6.25 LTC
  • [DeFiLlama] Litecoin has no DeFi network or smart contract functionality
  • [Canary Capital] Litecoin ETF application filed with SEC in 2025
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Litecoin (LTC)?
LTC scores 102 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 129th of 251 rated tokens (lower half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are LTC's strongest fundamentals?
LTC ranks highest on Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Exchange Depth 8/10, 5th of 251, Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251 and Vesting Schedule 9/10, 8th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the LTC thesis?
LTC scores in the bottom third of the universe on TVL Trend 1/10, 229th of 251, Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251, P/S Multiple 2/10, 218th of 251 and Network Growth 2/10, 215th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Zero DeFi network; payment use case obsoleted by stablecoins; declining relevance
How much LTC supply is still to enter circulation?
92.2% of eventual LTC supply is circulating today, leaving 1.08x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 7.8% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is LTC from its all-time high?
LTC trades 88.9% below its all-time high of $410.26. Returning to that high requires a 9x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to LTC?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to LTC are IOTA (78), MANA (66), WAXP (81) and AGLD (86). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What catalyst was LTC scored against?
Spot LTC ETF application in pipeline; halving supply cut in August 2023 This was written as forward-looking when the scoring pass ran. The August 2023 item has since passed, so read that part as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.