WATCH

Frax Share (FXS)

Governance token for the Frax stablecoin system rebranding to frxUSD, but FXS faces dilution from veFXS migration and loss of direct fee accrual

Ranked 115th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
105/250
115th of 251
Percentile
54.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
93.9%
6.1% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-99.28%
138.9x to recover
EthereumERC-20+7 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

FXS scores 105 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 115th of 251 rated tokens and inside the upper half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

The score rests on P/S Multiple 5/10, 38th of 251, Buyback and Burn 4/10, 40th of 251, Holder Concentration 4/10, 58th of 251 and Protocol Revenue 4/10, 60th of 251.

Against the same universe, FXS sits in the bottom third on Vesting Schedule 4/10, 181st of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

93.9% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for FXS. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

FXS trades 99.28% below its all-time high of $42.80. Recovering that level is a 138.9x move, not a 99.28% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 7 points against the previous pass (98 to 105). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$600.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for FXS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
460th of 251
Revenue Trend
471st of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
482nd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for FXS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
4146th of 251
Vesting Schedule
4181st of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
688th of 251
Buyback and Burn
440th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for FXS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
493rd of 251
Insider Selling
4151st of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for FXS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
465th of 251
Active Users
491st of 251
Developer Activity
583rd of 251
Network Growth
4100th of 251

Position

Position variables for FXS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
487th of 251
Competitive Moat
4114th of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
3157th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for FXS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
5102nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
490th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
4147th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Fraxchain L2 launch and frxUSD institutional adoption

Principal risk

FXS → FRAX token migration and veFXS overhaul create high dilution and uncertainty for existing holders

04

Market and supply

FXS now trades as FRAX. The scoring pass ran under the old ticker, so the scores below are filed under FXS while the market figures track FRAX.

Price$0.3097
Market cap$29.0Mrank 648
All-time high$42.8012 Jan 2022
Circulating supply93,609,324
Eventual supply (total supply)99,681,496
Dilution to full supply1.06x
Total value locked$600.0M
Listed onBinance, Bybit, Uniswap

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to FXS measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [Frax Finance Docs] FXS is being deprecated in favor of a new FRAX governance token structure under Sam Kazemian's v3 redesign
  • [DeFiLlama] Frax stablecoin TVL has held around $600M but growth has plateaued vs USDC/USDT dominance
  • [CoinGecko] FXS down 98% from ATH of $42.37 set during 2022 DeFi peak
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Frax Share (FXS)?
FXS scores 105 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 115th of 251 rated tokens (upper half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are FXS's strongest fundamentals?
FXS ranks highest on P/S Multiple 5/10, 38th of 251, Buyback and Burn 4/10, 40th of 251, Holder Concentration 4/10, 58th of 251 and Protocol Revenue 4/10, 60th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the FXS thesis?
FXS scores in the bottom third of the universe on Vesting Schedule 4/10, 181st of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: FXS → FRAX token migration and veFXS overhaul create high dilution and uncertainty for existing holders
How much FXS supply is still to enter circulation?
93.9% of eventual FXS supply is circulating today, leaving 1.06x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 6.1% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is FXS from its all-time high?
FXS trades 99.28% below its all-time high of $42.80. Returning to that high requires a 138.9x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to FXS?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to FXS are API3 (99), BAL (95), GRT (121) and MASK (82). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for FXS?
Fraxchain L2 launch and frxUSD institutional adoption

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.