HOLD

GMX (GMX)

Protocol revenue ~$14M (not $42M total fees). Commodity perps live ($1.18B week-1). $20.86M buybacks.

Ranked 28th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
143/250
28th of 251
Percentile
89.2%
of the rated universe
Circulating
78.9%
21.1% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-93%
14.3x to recover
ArbitrumERC-20+77 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

GMX scores 143 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 28th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.

GMX is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251, Catalyst Calendar 8/10, 3rd of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251.

Against the same universe, GMX sits in the bottom third on Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 78.9% of GMX's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.27x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 21.1% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

GMX trades 93% below its all-time high of $91.07. Recovering that level is a 14.3x move, not a 93% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 77 points against the previous pass (66 to 143). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$784.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for GMX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
537th of 251
Revenue Trend
532nd of 251
P/S Multiple
79th of 251
Real Staking Yield
1226th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for GMX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
88th of 251
Vesting Schedule
735th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
827th of 251
Buyback and Burn
713th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for GMX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
548th of 251
Insider Selling
82nd of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for GMX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
465th of 251
Active Users
538th of 251
Developer Activity
633rd of 251
Network Growth
632nd of 251

Position

Position variables for GMX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
3131st of 251
Competitive Moat
557th of 251
Institutional Adoption
536th of 251
Exchange Depth
712th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for GMX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
717th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
83rd of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
712th of 251
Treasury Runway
711th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Catalyst on the scorecard

24/7 commodity perps (gold/silver/oil) live April 2026, $1.18B first-week volume, RWA expansion

The April 2026 item has already passed. This was written as forward-looking at the 11 Jun 2026 scoring pass, so read those parts as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Principal risk

Sub-3% perp DEX share vs HYPE 70%, $90 reward open at $6.80 price, revenue was 3x overstated

04

Market and supply

Price$6.38
Market cap$66.3Mrank 338
All-time high$91.0718 Apr 2023
Circulating supply10,451,440
Eventual supply (max supply)13,250,000
Dilution to full supply1.27x
Total value locked$784.0M
Listed onBinance, Bybit, Coinbase

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to GMX measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for GMX (GMX)?
GMX scores 143 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 28th of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is HOLD.
What are GMX's strongest fundamentals?
GMX ranks highest on Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251, Catalyst Calendar 8/10, 3rd of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the GMX thesis?
GMX scores in the bottom third of the universe on Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Sub-3% perp DEX share vs HYPE 70%, $90 reward open at $6.80 price, revenue was 3x overstated
How much GMX supply is still to enter circulation?
78.9% of eventual GMX supply is circulating today, leaving 1.27x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 21.1% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is GMX from its all-time high?
GMX trades 93% below its all-time high of $91.07. Returning to that high requires a 14.3x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to GMX?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to GMX are ACH (97), COW (167), IOTA (78) and KNC (110). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What catalyst was GMX scored against?
24/7 commodity perps (gold/silver/oil) live April 2026, $1.18B first-week volume, RWA expansion This was written as forward-looking when the scoring pass ran. The April 2026 item has since passed, so read that part as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.