GMX (GMX)
Protocol revenue ~$14M (not $42M total fees). Commodity perps live ($1.18B week-1). $20.86M buybacks.
Ranked 28th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.
What the numbers say
GMX scores 143 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 28th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.
GMX is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251, Catalyst Calendar 8/10, 3rd of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251.
Against the same universe, GMX sits in the bottom third on Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.
Only 78.9% of GMX's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.27x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 21.1% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.
GMX trades 93% below its all-time high of $91.07. Recovering that level is a 14.3x move, not a 93% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.
The framework score gained 77 points against the previous pass (66 to 143). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.
$784.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.
25-variable breakdown
Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.
Cash flow
| Protocol Revenue | 5 | 37th of 251 | |
| Revenue Trend | 5 | 32nd of 251 | |
| P/S Multiple | 7 | 9th of 251 | |
| Real Staking Yield | 1 | 226th of 251 |
Supply
| Supply Inflation | 8 | 8th of 251 | |
| Vesting Schedule | 7 | 35th of 251 | |
| Circulating / FDV Ratio | 8 | 27th of 251 | |
| Buyback and Burn | 7 | 13th of 251 |
Ownership
| Smart Money Flows | 5 | 48th of 251 | |
| Insider Selling | 8 | 2nd of 251 | |
| Holder Concentration | 5 | 10th of 251 |
Traction
| TVL Trend | 4 | 65th of 251 | |
| Active Users | 5 | 38th of 251 | |
| Developer Activity | 6 | 33rd of 251 | |
| Network Growth | 6 | 32nd of 251 |
Position
| Market Share | 3 | 131st of 251 | |
| Competitive Moat | 5 | 57th of 251 | |
| Institutional Adoption | 5 | 36th of 251 | |
| Exchange Depth | 7 | 12th of 251 | |
| Social Mindshare | 4 | 86th of 251 |
Risk
| Regulatory Safety | 7 | 17th of 251 | |
| Catalyst Calendar | 8 | 3rd of 251 | |
| BTC Alpha Potential | 3 | 114th of 251 | |
| Team Execution | 7 | 12th of 251 | |
| Treasury Runway | 7 | 11th of 251 |
The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.
Catalyst and risk
Catalyst on the scorecard
24/7 commodity perps (gold/silver/oil) live April 2026, $1.18B first-week volume, RWA expansion
The April 2026 item has already passed. This was written as forward-looking at the 11 Jun 2026 scoring pass, so read those parts as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.
Principal risk
Sub-3% perp DEX share vs HYPE 70%, $90 reward open at $6.80 price, revenue was 3x overstated
Market and supply
| Price | $6.38 |
| Market cap | $66.3Mrank 338 |
| All-time high | $91.0718 Apr 2023 |
| Circulating supply | 10,451,440 |
| Eventual supply (max supply) | 13,250,000 |
| Dilution to full supply | 1.27x |
| Total value locked | $784.0M |
| Listed on | Binance, Bybit, Coinbase |
Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.
Tokens with a similar profile
These are the closest matches to GMX measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.
Sources
- [aixbt/X/DeFiLlama] 24/7 gold/silver perps: $1.18B volume, $790K fees in week 1. Protocol rev ~$14M (not $42M total fees)
- [CoinGecko/GMX Substack] $20.86M in buybacks (1.33M GMX, 12.9% of supply)
- [GMX Substack] March 2026 governance overhaul: rewards locked until GMX hits $90
- [CoinMarketCap] Hard cap 13.25M supply, 78.5% already circulating
Common questions
- What is the Early Thunder score for GMX (GMX)?
- GMX scores 143 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 28th of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is HOLD.
- What are GMX's strongest fundamentals?
- GMX ranks highest on Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251, Catalyst Calendar 8/10, 3rd of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
- What are the weakest parts of the GMX thesis?
- GMX scores in the bottom third of the universe on Real Staking Yield 1/10, 226th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Sub-3% perp DEX share vs HYPE 70%, $90 reward open at $6.80 price, revenue was 3x overstated
- How much GMX supply is still to enter circulation?
- 78.9% of eventual GMX supply is circulating today, leaving 1.27x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 21.1% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
- How far is GMX from its all-time high?
- GMX trades 93% below its all-time high of $91.07. Returning to that high requires a 14.3x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
- Which tokens have a similar profile to GMX?
- Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to GMX are ACH (97), COW (167), IOTA (78) and KNC (110). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
- What catalyst was GMX scored against?
- 24/7 commodity perps (gold/silver/oil) live April 2026, $1.18B first-week volume, RWA expansion This was written as forward-looking when the scoring pass ran. The April 2026 item has since passed, so read that part as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.
Keep reading
Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.