CAUTIOUS HOLD

Kamino Finance (KMNO)

S38 VALIDATED: #1 Solana lending, $3.2B TVL, $14.3M rev, but ZERO value accrual to KMNO. Excellent protocol, worthless token.

Ranked 35th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
138/250
35th of 251
Percentile
86.5%
of the rated universe
Circulating
52.4%
47.6% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-92.6%
13.5x to recover
SolanaSPL-24 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

KMNO scores 138 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 35th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.

KMNO is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Network Growth 8/10, 4th of 251, TVL Trend 8/10, 6th of 251, Active Users 7/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251.

Against the same universe, KMNO sits in the bottom third on BTC Alpha Potential 2/10, 200th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 52.4% of KMNO's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.91x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 47.6% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

KMNO trades 92.6% below its all-time high of $0.2478. Recovering that level is a 13.5x move, not a 92.6% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score lost 24 points against the previous pass (162 to 138). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$3.20B sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for KMNO, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
621st of 251
Revenue Trend
471st of 251
P/S Multiple
79th of 251
Real Staking Yield
3143rd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for KMNO, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
4146th of 251
Vesting Schedule
5100th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
5135th of 251
Buyback and Burn
2114th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for KMNO, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
712th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for KMNO, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
86th of 251
Active Users
78th of 251
Developer Activity
79th of 251
Network Growth
84th of 251

Position

Position variables for KMNO, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
720th of 251
Competitive Moat
629th of 251
Institutional Adoption
717th of 251
Exchange Depth
4157th of 251
Social Mindshare
541st of 251

Risk

Risk variables for KMNO, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
5102nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
629th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
2200th of 251
Team Execution
712th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Lend V2 live, Anchorage tri-party custody, Bitwise $259M fund, Ethena $1B+ integration

Principal risk

ZERO fee sharing, ZERO buyback, -94% ATH, 229M tokens/month opening, revenue declining -67%

04

Market and supply

Price$0.0184
Market cap$96.6Mrank 262
All-time high$0.247815 Dec 2024
Circulating supply5,238,356,477
Eventual supply (max supply)10,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.91x
Total value locked$3.20B
Listed onBinance, Bybit, Raydium

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to KMNO measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [DeFiLlama] $3.2B TVL, #1 lending protocol on Solana
  • [DeFiLlama] $14.33M annualized protocol revenue (not $17M as claimed)
  • [Token Terminal] Revenue declining: $35.7M Q1 2025 → $11.9M Q2 2026 (-67%)
  • [CoinGecko] ATH $0.2472 on Dec 15, 2024 (not $0.12 as previously listed)
  • [Kamino Docs] ZERO value accrual: no fee sharing, no buyback, no burn, no real staking yield
  • [Kamino Governance] Staking = 'stake KMNO to earn more KMNO' (emissions only)
  • [Kamino Governance Forum] No governance proposal for fee sharing ever submitted
  • [Token Unlocks] 229M tokens/month opening through Apr 2027
  • [CoinGecko] 47% circulating (4.68B of 10B), massive dilution ahead
  • [Anchorage] Anchorage Digital tri-party custody pilot with The Solana Company ($201M)
  • [Bitwise] Bitwise $259M Solana Staking Fund integration
  • [DeFiLlama] Ethena $1B+ deposits within days of launch on Kamino
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Kamino Finance (KMNO)?
KMNO scores 138 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 35th of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.
What are KMNO's strongest fundamentals?
KMNO ranks highest on Network Growth 8/10, 4th of 251, TVL Trend 8/10, 6th of 251, Active Users 7/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the KMNO thesis?
KMNO scores in the bottom third of the universe on BTC Alpha Potential 2/10, 200th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: ZERO fee sharing, ZERO buyback, -94% ATH, 229M tokens/month opening, revenue declining -67%
How much KMNO supply is still to enter circulation?
52.4% of eventual KMNO supply is circulating today, leaving 1.91x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 47.6% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is KMNO from its all-time high?
KMNO trades 92.6% below its all-time high of $0.2478. Returning to that high requires a 13.5x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to KMNO?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to KMNO are SAFE (132), IMX (117), MORPHO (157) and ARB (134). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for KMNO?
Lend V2 live, Anchorage tri-party custody, Bitwise $259M fund, Ethena $1B+ integration

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.