CAUTIOUS HOLD

Safe (formerly Gnosis Safe) (SAFE)

Token for the dominant smart-contract wallet securing $100B+ in assets, but governance token with minimal direct value accrual so far

Ranked 44th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
132/250
44th of 251
Percentile
82.9%
of the rated universe
Circulating
76.7%
23.3% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-97.5%
40x to recover
EthereumERC-20+14 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

SAFE scores 132 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 44th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.

SAFE is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Market Share 8/10, 4th of 251, Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251, TVL Trend 8/10, 6th of 251 and Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251.

Against the same universe, SAFE sits in the bottom third on Circulating / FDV Ratio 2/10, 241st of 251, Vesting Schedule 2/10, 223rd of 251, Real Staking Yield 2/10, 199th of 251 and Supply Inflation 3/10, 199th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 76.7% of SAFE's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.3x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 23.3% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

SAFE trades 97.5% below its all-time high of $3.56. Recovering that level is a 40x move, not a 97.5% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 14 points against the previous pass (118 to 132). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$110.00B sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for SAFE, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
460th of 251
Revenue Trend
532nd of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
2199th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for SAFE, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
3199th of 251
Vesting Schedule
2223rd of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
2241st of 251
Buyback and Burn
2114th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for SAFE, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
626th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for SAFE, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
86th of 251
Active Users
78th of 251
Developer Activity
79th of 251
Network Growth
712th of 251

Position

Position variables for SAFE, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
84th of 251
Competitive Moat
85th of 251
Institutional Adoption
717th of 251
Exchange Depth
4157th of 251
Social Mindshare
541st of 251

Risk

Risk variables for SAFE, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
86th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
550th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
445th of 251
Team Execution
712th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Fee switch or protocol revenue share activation by Safe DAO

Principal risk

Token has no clear value accrual mechanism; Safe protocol revenues flow to contributors not token holders

04

Market and supply

Price$0.0876
Market cap$67.2Mrank 337
All-time high$3.5623 Apr 2024
Circulating supply767,449,429
Eventual supply (max supply)1,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.3x
Total value locked$110.00B
Listed onBybit, KuCoin, Uniswap

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to SAFE measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [Safe Global] Safe wallets collectively hold over $100B in assets across 40+ chains as of 2025
  • [CoinGecko] Only 22% of SAFE token supply is circulating; large releases scheduled through 2027
  • [Safe Forum] Safe DAO launched with $1B+ treasury but token has no direct fee share yet
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Safe (formerly Gnosis Safe) (SAFE)?
SAFE scores 132 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 44th of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.
What are SAFE's strongest fundamentals?
SAFE ranks highest on Market Share 8/10, 4th of 251, Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251, TVL Trend 8/10, 6th of 251 and Regulatory Safety 8/10, 6th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the SAFE thesis?
SAFE scores in the bottom third of the universe on Circulating / FDV Ratio 2/10, 241st of 251, Vesting Schedule 2/10, 223rd of 251, Real Staking Yield 2/10, 199th of 251 and Supply Inflation 3/10, 199th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Token has no clear value accrual mechanism; Safe protocol revenues flow to contributors not token holders
How much SAFE supply is still to enter circulation?
76.7% of eventual SAFE supply is circulating today, leaving 1.3x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 23.3% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is SAFE from its all-time high?
SAFE trades 97.5% below its all-time high of $3.56. Returning to that high requires a 40x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to SAFE?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to SAFE are SSV (106), MORPHO (157), ONDO (115) and W (92). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for SAFE?
Fee switch or protocol revenue share activation by Safe DAO

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.