CAUTIOUS HOLD

Livepeer (LPT)

Decentralized video transcoding network. Real compute demand from video platforms.

Ranked 56th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
123/250
56th of 251
Percentile
78.1%
of the rated universe
Circulating
100%
0% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-98.7%
76.9x to recover
EthereumERC-20+123 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

LPT scores 123 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 56th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.

The score rests on Competitive Moat 6/10, 29th of 251, Team Execution 6/10, 30th of 251, Revenue Trend 5/10, 32nd of 251 and Developer Activity 6/10, 33rd of 251.

100% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for LPT. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

LPT trades 98.7% below its all-time high of $99.03. Recovering that level is a 76.9x move, not a 98.7% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 123 points against the previous pass (0 to 123). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for LPT, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
537th of 251
Revenue Trend
532nd of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for LPT, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
561st of 251
Vesting Schedule
659th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
688th of 251
Buyback and Burn
363rd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for LPT, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
548th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for LPT, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
465th of 251
Active Users
491st of 251
Developer Activity
633rd of 251
Network Growth
552nd of 251

Position

Position variables for LPT, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
636th of 251
Competitive Moat
629th of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for LPT, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
652nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
490th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
445th of 251
Team Execution
630th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Catalyst on the scorecard

AI video inference demand on Livepeer network, with 300+ new orchestrators onboarded by April 2025.

The April 2025 item has already passed. This was written as forward-looking at the 11 Jun 2026 scoring pass, so read those parts as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Principal risk

Competition from Render Network's video pipeline or AWS MediaConvert capturing 80%+ market share.

04

Market and supply

Price$1.27
Market cap$63.3Mrank 351
All-time high$99.039 Nov 2021
Circulating supply49,688,955
Eventual supply (total supply)49,688,955
Dilution to full supply1x
Listed onCoinbase, Kraken, Uniswap

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to LPT measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Livepeer (LPT)?
LPT scores 123 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 56th of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.
What are LPT's strongest fundamentals?
LPT ranks highest on Competitive Moat 6/10, 29th of 251, Team Execution 6/10, 30th of 251, Revenue Trend 5/10, 32nd of 251 and Developer Activity 6/10, 33rd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
How much LPT supply is still to enter circulation?
100% of eventual LPT supply is circulating today, leaving 1x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 0% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is LPT from its all-time high?
LPT trades 98.7% below its all-time high of $99.03. Returning to that high requires a 76.9x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to LPT?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to LPT are MNDE (119), STORJ (108), POOL (96) and JOE (117). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What catalyst was LPT scored against?
AI video inference demand on Livepeer network, with 300+ new orchestrators onboarded by April 2025. This was written as forward-looking when the scoring pass ran. The April 2025 item has since passed, so read that part as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.