Spell Token (SPELL)
Governance token for Abracadabra Money (MIM stablecoin), permanently impaired by Wonderland scandal and UST contagion; no recovery path evident
Ranked 242nd of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.
What the numbers say
SPELL scores 63 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 242nd of 251 rated tokens and inside the bottom 10% of the set. The framework verdict is PASS.
Against the same universe, SPELL sits in the bottom third on Smart Money Flows 1/10, 243rd of 251, Insider Selling 2/10, 242nd of 251, Institutional Adoption 1/10, 238th of 251 and Developer Activity 2/10, 238th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.
Only 81.7% of SPELL's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.22x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 18.3% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.
SPELL trades 99.77% below its all-time high of $0.0351. Recovering that level is a 434.8x move, not a 99.77% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.
$85.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.
25-variable breakdown
Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.
Cash flow
| Protocol Revenue | 3 | 98th of 251 | |
| Revenue Trend | 2 | 191st of 251 | |
| P/S Multiple | 3 | 182nd of 251 | |
| Real Staking Yield | 3 | 143rd of 251 |
Supply
| Supply Inflation | 3 | 199th of 251 | |
| Vesting Schedule | 4 | 181st of 251 | |
| Circulating / FDV Ratio | 6 | 88th of 251 | |
| Buyback and Burn | 2 | 114th of 251 |
Ownership
| Smart Money Flows | 1 | 243rd of 251 | |
| Insider Selling | 2 | 242nd of 251 | |
| Holder Concentration | 3 | 197th of 251 |
Traction
| TVL Trend | 2 | 189th of 251 | |
| Active Users | 2 | 220th of 251 | |
| Developer Activity | 2 | 238th of 251 | |
| Network Growth | 2 | 215th of 251 |
Position
| Market Share | 2 | 203rd of 251 | |
| Competitive Moat | 2 | 223rd of 251 | |
| Institutional Adoption | 1 | 238th of 251 | |
| Exchange Depth | 3 | 220th of 251 | |
| Social Mindshare | 2 | 230th of 251 |
Risk
| Regulatory Safety | 4 | 213th of 251 | |
| Catalyst Calendar | 2 | 222nd of 251 | |
| BTC Alpha Potential | 2 | 200th of 251 | |
| Team Execution | 2 | 230th of 251 | |
| Treasury Runway | 3 | 226th of 251 |
The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.
Catalyst and risk
Next catalyst
Abracadabra's GLP-collateralized MIM vaults finding yield-bearing collateral niches
Principal risk
Abracadabra was associated with 0xSifu/Wonderland fraud; MIM depegged in 2022; trust permanently damaged
Market and supply
| Price | $0.000079 |
| Market cap | $13.5Mrank 990 |
| All-time high | $0.03512 Nov 2021 |
| Circulating supply | 171,510,541,047 |
| Eventual supply (max supply) | 210,000,000,000 |
| Dilution to full supply | 1.22x |
| Total value locked | $85.0M |
| Listed on | Binance, Gate.io, Uniswap |
Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.
Tokens with a similar profile
These are the closest matches to SPELL measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.
Sources
- [CoinDesk] Wonderland DAO (TIME/MEM) CFO exposed as 0xSifu (Michael Patryn, QuadrigaCX co-founder) in Jan 2022, triggering SPELL collapselink dead, claim unverified
- [DeFiLlama] SPELL token is down 99.5% from ATH; Abracadabra TVL fell from $5B+ to ~$85M
- [CoinGecko] MIM stablecoin briefly depegged in 2022 and 2023; structural confidence never recovered
One source link above no longer resolves, so we stripped the hyperlink rather than leave something that looks like evidence until you click it. The claims stay visible because they are part of the research record, but treat them as unverified. Every link was rechecked 6 Aug 2026.
Common questions
- What is the Early Thunder score for Spell Token (SPELL)?
- SPELL scores 63 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 242nd of 251 rated tokens (bottom 10%). The framework verdict is PASS.
- What are the weakest parts of the SPELL thesis?
- SPELL scores in the bottom third of the universe on Smart Money Flows 1/10, 243rd of 251, Insider Selling 2/10, 242nd of 251, Institutional Adoption 1/10, 238th of 251 and Developer Activity 2/10, 238th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Abracadabra was associated with 0xSifu/Wonderland fraud; MIM depegged in 2022; trust permanently damaged
- How much SPELL supply is still to enter circulation?
- 81.7% of eventual SPELL supply is circulating today, leaving 1.22x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 18.3% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
- How far is SPELL from its all-time high?
- SPELL trades 99.77% below its all-time high of $0.0351. Returning to that high requires a 434.8x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
- Which tokens have a similar profile to SPELL?
- Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to SPELL are SUSHI (74), CVX (103), QTUM (61) and BAND (73). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
- What is the next catalyst for SPELL?
- Abracadabra's GLP-collateralized MIM vaults finding yield-bearing collateral niches
Keep reading
Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.