PASS

Spell Token (SPELL)

Governance token for Abracadabra Money (MIM stablecoin), permanently impaired by Wonderland scandal and UST contagion; no recovery path evident

Ranked 242nd of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
63/250
242nd of 251
Percentile
4%
of the rated universe
Circulating
81.7%
18.3% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-99.77%
434.8x to recover
EthereumERC-20+3 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

SPELL scores 63 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 242nd of 251 rated tokens and inside the bottom 10% of the set. The framework verdict is PASS.

Against the same universe, SPELL sits in the bottom third on Smart Money Flows 1/10, 243rd of 251, Insider Selling 2/10, 242nd of 251, Institutional Adoption 1/10, 238th of 251 and Developer Activity 2/10, 238th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 81.7% of SPELL's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.22x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 18.3% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

SPELL trades 99.77% below its all-time high of $0.0351. Recovering that level is a 434.8x move, not a 99.77% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

$85.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for SPELL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
398th of 251
Revenue Trend
2191st of 251
P/S Multiple
3182nd of 251
Real Staking Yield
3143rd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for SPELL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
3199th of 251
Vesting Schedule
4181st of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
688th of 251
Buyback and Burn
2114th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for SPELL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
1243rd of 251
Insider Selling
2242nd of 251
Holder Concentration
3197th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for SPELL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
2189th of 251
Active Users
2220th of 251
Developer Activity
2238th of 251
Network Growth
2215th of 251

Position

Position variables for SPELL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
2203rd of 251
Competitive Moat
2223rd of 251
Institutional Adoption
1238th of 251
Exchange Depth
3220th of 251
Social Mindshare
2230th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for SPELL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
4213th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
2222nd of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
2200th of 251
Team Execution
2230th of 251
Treasury Runway
3226th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Abracadabra's GLP-collateralized MIM vaults finding yield-bearing collateral niches

Principal risk

Abracadabra was associated with 0xSifu/Wonderland fraud; MIM depegged in 2022; trust permanently damaged

04

Market and supply

Price$0.000079
Market cap$13.5Mrank 990
All-time high$0.03512 Nov 2021
Circulating supply171,510,541,047
Eventual supply (max supply)210,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.22x
Total value locked$85.0M
Listed onBinance, Gate.io, Uniswap

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to SPELL measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [CoinDesk] Wonderland DAO (TIME/MEM) CFO exposed as 0xSifu (Michael Patryn, QuadrigaCX co-founder) in Jan 2022, triggering SPELL collapselink dead, claim unverified
  • [DeFiLlama] SPELL token is down 99.5% from ATH; Abracadabra TVL fell from $5B+ to ~$85M
  • [CoinGecko] MIM stablecoin briefly depegged in 2022 and 2023; structural confidence never recovered

One source link above no longer resolves, so we stripped the hyperlink rather than leave something that looks like evidence until you click it. The claims stay visible because they are part of the research record, but treat them as unverified. Every link was rechecked 6 Aug 2026.

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Spell Token (SPELL)?
SPELL scores 63 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 242nd of 251 rated tokens (bottom 10%). The framework verdict is PASS.
What are the weakest parts of the SPELL thesis?
SPELL scores in the bottom third of the universe on Smart Money Flows 1/10, 243rd of 251, Insider Selling 2/10, 242nd of 251, Institutional Adoption 1/10, 238th of 251 and Developer Activity 2/10, 238th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Abracadabra was associated with 0xSifu/Wonderland fraud; MIM depegged in 2022; trust permanently damaged
How much SPELL supply is still to enter circulation?
81.7% of eventual SPELL supply is circulating today, leaving 1.22x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 18.3% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is SPELL from its all-time high?
SPELL trades 99.77% below its all-time high of $0.0351. Returning to that high requires a 434.8x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to SPELL?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to SPELL are SUSHI (74), CVX (103), QTUM (61) and BAND (73). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for SPELL?
Abracadabra's GLP-collateralized MIM vaults finding yield-bearing collateral niches

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.