WATCH

Stellar (XLM)

Cross-border payments network. Stellar Development Foundation. MoneyGram partnership.

Ranked 100th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
108/250
100th of 251
Percentile
60.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
68.6%
31.4% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-81.5%
5.4x to recover
StellarNative L1+108 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

XLM scores 108 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 100th of 251 rated tokens and inside the upper half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

The score rests on Treasury Runway 6/10, 33rd of 251, Institutional Adoption 5/10, 36th of 251, Exchange Depth 6/10, 37th of 251 and Insider Selling 5/10, 42nd of 251.

Only 68.6% of XLM's total supply is in circulation, so 1.46x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 31.4% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

XLM trades 81.5% below its all-time high of $0.8756. Recovering that level is a 5.4x move, not a 81.5% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 108 points against the previous pass (0 to 108). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for XLM, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
398th of 251
Revenue Trend
3117th of 251
P/S Multiple
4104th of 251
Real Staking Yield
3143rd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for XLM, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
561st of 251
Vesting Schedule
5100th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
5135th of 251
Buyback and Burn
363rd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for XLM, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
493rd of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for XLM, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
3111th of 251
Active Users
491st of 251
Developer Activity
583rd of 251
Network Growth
4100th of 251

Position

Position variables for XLM, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
487th of 251
Competitive Moat
557th of 251
Institutional Adoption
536th of 251
Exchange Depth
637th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for XLM, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
652nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
490th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Stellar's cross-border payment partnerships (e.g., MoneyGram); Soroban smart contract launch.

Principal risk

Slow payment adoption vs. XRP; limited DeFi network; regulatory uncertainty.

04

Market and supply

Price$0.1621
Market cap$5.56Brank 20
All-time high$0.87562 Jan 2018
Circulating supply34,304,167,195
Eventual supply (total supply)50,001,786,840
Dilution to full supply1.46x
Listed onBinance, Coinbase, Kraken

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to XLM measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Stellar (XLM)?
XLM scores 108 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 100th of 251 rated tokens (upper half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are XLM's strongest fundamentals?
XLM ranks highest on Treasury Runway 6/10, 33rd of 251, Institutional Adoption 5/10, 36th of 251, Exchange Depth 6/10, 37th of 251 and Insider Selling 5/10, 42nd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
How much XLM supply is still to enter circulation?
68.6% of eventual XLM supply is circulating today, leaving 1.46x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 31.4% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is XLM from its all-time high?
XLM trades 81.5% below its all-time high of $0.8756. Returning to that high requires a 5.4x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to XLM?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to XLM are VET (101), YGG (95), ETC (90) and APE (102). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for XLM?
Stellar's cross-border payment partnerships (e.g., MoneyGram); Soroban smart contract launch.

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.