WATCH

VeChain (VET)

Enterprise supply chain blockchain with real business adoption but no DeFi moat and dual-token complexity

Ranked 135th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
101/250
135th of 251
Percentile
46.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
99.2%
0.8% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-98.3%
58.8x to recover
VeChainNative L1+8 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

VET scores 101 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 135th of 251 rated tokens and inside the lower half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

The score rests on Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251, Institutional Adoption 5/10, 36th of 251, Exchange Depth 6/10, 37th of 251 and Insider Selling 5/10, 42nd of 251.

Against the same universe, VET sits in the bottom third on BTC Alpha Potential 2/10, 200th of 251 and TVL Trend 2/10, 189th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

99.2% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for VET. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

VET trades 98.3% below its all-time high of $0.2810. Recovering that level is a 58.8x move, not a 98.3% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 8 points against the previous pass (93 to 101). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$8.0M sits in the protocol. Each dollar of value locked carries 50.31 dollars of token market cap.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for VET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
398th of 251
Revenue Trend
3117th of 251
P/S Multiple
4104th of 251
Real Staking Yield
482nd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for VET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
561st of 251
Vesting Schedule
659th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
688th of 251
Buyback and Burn
363rd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for VET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
3149th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for VET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
2189th of 251
Active Users
3149th of 251
Developer Activity
4158th of 251
Network Growth
3156th of 251

Position

Position variables for VET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
3131st of 251
Competitive Moat
4114th of 251
Institutional Adoption
536th of 251
Exchange Depth
637th of 251
Social Mindshare
3157th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for VET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
717th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
3158th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
2200th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

VeChain Thor VIP-220 fee model and Walmart China + DNV GL partnerships provide steady enterprise demand

Principal risk

Enterprise blockchain market shrinking vs. private chains; dual token (VET+VTHO) model adds complexity with minimal speculative upside

04

Market and supply

Price$0.004679
Market cap$402.5Mrank 107
All-time high$0.281019 Apr 2021
Circulating supply85,985,041,177
Eventual supply (max supply)86,712,634,466
Dilution to full supply1.01x
Total value locked$8.0M
Listed onBinance, Bybit, KuCoin

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to VET measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [VeChain Foundation] VeChain partners include Walmart China, DNV GL, BMW for supply chain tracing
  • [CoinGecko] VET ATH $0.2782 in April 2021; current price 97.6% below ATH
  • [VeChain Stats] VTHO burn model creates some deflationary pressure but transaction volume remains modest
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for VeChain (VET)?
VET scores 101 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 135th of 251 rated tokens (lower half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are VET's strongest fundamentals?
VET ranks highest on Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251, Institutional Adoption 5/10, 36th of 251, Exchange Depth 6/10, 37th of 251 and Insider Selling 5/10, 42nd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the VET thesis?
VET scores in the bottom third of the universe on BTC Alpha Potential 2/10, 200th of 251 and TVL Trend 2/10, 189th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Enterprise blockchain market shrinking vs. private chains; dual token (VET+VTHO) model adds complexity with minimal speculative upside
How much VET supply is still to enter circulation?
99.2% of eventual VET supply is circulating today, leaving 1.01x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 0.8% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is VET from its all-time high?
VET trades 98.3% below its all-time high of $0.2810. Returning to that high requires a 58.8x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to VET?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to VET are XTZ (88), ZIL (63), BAND (73) and FLOW (78). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for VET?
VeChain Thor VIP-220 fee model and Walmart China + DNV GL partnerships provide steady enterprise demand

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.