HOLD

Cetus Protocol (CETUS)

Leading CLMM DEX on Sui with near-monopoly status; strong TVL growth as Sui network expansion accelerates

Ranked 22nd of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 18 Sept 2026.

Score
147/250
22nd of 251
Percentile
91.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
96.5%
3.5% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-94.7%
18.9x to recover
SuiMicro capMove+9 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

CETUS scores 147 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 22nd of 251 rated tokens and inside the top 10% of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.

CETUS is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Network Growth 8/10, 4th of 251, Market Share 8/10, 4th of 251, Revenue Trend 7/10, 6th of 251 and BTC Alpha Potential 6/10, 6th of 251.

96.5% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for CETUS. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

CETUS trades 94.7% below its all-time high of $0.4877. Recovering that level is a 18.9x move, not a 94.7% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 9 points against the previous pass (138 to 147). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$380.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

CETUS's strengths split in two. Active Users, Market Share and Catalyst Calendar are variables the market already pays up for, so that part of the score is priced. P/S Multiple are variables it does not price at all, and that is where holding this token is a disagreement with the market rather than an agreement with it.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for CETUS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
398th of 251
Revenue Trend
76th of 251
P/S Multiple
79th of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for CETUS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
561st of 251
Vesting Schedule
5100th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
688th of 251
Buyback and Burn
528th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for CETUS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
712th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for CETUS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
530th of 251
Active Users
78th of 251
Developer Activity
79th of 251
Network Growth
84th of 251

Position

Position variables for CETUS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
84th of 251
Competitive Moat
714th of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
623rd of 251

Risk

Risk variables for CETUS, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
5102nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
715th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
66th of 251
Team Execution
630th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Sui TVL surging past $2B; CETUS as dominant liquidity layer capturing majority of Sui DEX volume

Principal risk

Sui network concentration risk; hack/exploit history (2023 $22M exploit fully recovered); competition from Turbos/Aftermath

04

Market and supply

Price$0.0259
Market cap$25.0Mrank 772
All-time high$0.48779 Nov 2024
Circulating supply965,217,391
Eventual supply (max supply)1,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.04x
Total value locked$380.0M
Listed onOKX, Gate.io, Cetus DEX

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 7 Oct 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 18 Sept 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to CETUS measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

CETUS compared head to head

Both sides of each comparison were scored by the same framework in the same pass, so the gap between them is a measurement rather than two readings taken with different rulers.

07

Sources

  • [DefiLlama] Cetus is the dominant CLMM DEX on Sui, consistently holding 50%+ of Sui DEX market share
  • [DefiLlama] Sui TVL surpassed $2B in 2025, directly benefiting Cetus as the primary liquidity venue
  • [Cetus Blog] Cetus recovered from 2023 $22M exploit; security improved with audits and oracle upgrades
08

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Cetus Protocol (CETUS)?
CETUS scores 147 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 22nd of 251 rated tokens (top 10%). The framework verdict is HOLD.
What are CETUS's strongest fundamentals?
CETUS ranks highest on Network Growth 8/10, 4th of 251, Market Share 8/10, 4th of 251, Revenue Trend 7/10, 6th of 251 and BTC Alpha Potential 6/10, 6th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
How much CETUS supply is still to enter circulation?
96.5% of eventual CETUS supply is circulating today, leaving 1.04x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 3.5% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is CETUS from its all-time high?
CETUS trades 94.7% below its all-time high of $0.4877. Returning to that high requires a 18.9x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to CETUS?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to CETUS are GRASS (111), DRIFT (142), ARB (134) and WLD (89). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for CETUS?
Sui TVL surging past $2B; CETUS as dominant liquidity layer capturing majority of Sui DEX volume

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.