WATCH

dYdX (DYDX)

Leading perp DEX migrated to its own Cosmos chain; real $380M TVL and daily volume but token accrual to stakers unclear and releases persist.

Ranked 97th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
109/250
97th of 251
Percentile
61.8%
of the rated universe
Circulating
84.9%
15.1% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-97.4%
38.5x to recover
EthereumERC-20+17 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

DYDX scores 109 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 97th of 251 rated tokens and inside the upper half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

The score rests on TVL Trend 5/10, 30th of 251, Institutional Adoption 5/10, 36th of 251, Exchange Depth 6/10, 37th of 251 and Protocol Revenue 5/10, 37th of 251.

Against the same universe, DYDX sits in the bottom third on Vesting Schedule 3/10, 204th of 251, Insider Selling 3/10, 201st of 251 and Supply Inflation 3/10, 199th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 84.9% of DYDX's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.18x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 15.1% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

DYDX trades 97.4% below its all-time high of $4.52. Recovering that level is a 38.5x move, not a 97.4% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 17 points against the previous pass (92 to 109). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$380.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for DYDX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
537th of 251
Revenue Trend
471st of 251
P/S Multiple
4104th of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for DYDX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
3199th of 251
Vesting Schedule
3204th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
5135th of 251
Buyback and Burn
440th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for DYDX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
493rd of 251
Insider Selling
3201st of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for DYDX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
530th of 251
Active Users
538th of 251
Developer Activity
583rd of 251
Network Growth
4100th of 251

Position

Position variables for DYDX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
487th of 251
Competitive Moat
4114th of 251
Institutional Adoption
536th of 251
Exchange Depth
637th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for DYDX, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
5102nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
490th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
445th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

dYdX v4 fee distribution to stakers; multi-asset perp expansion; institutional market maker onboarding

Principal risk

99.5% below ATH; only 52% circulating with multi-year vesting ongoing; Hyperliquid and GMX eating market share; dYdX chain bootstrapping uncertain

04

Market and supply

Price$0.1160
Market cap$98.5Mrank 259
All-time high$4.527 Mar 2024
Circulating supply848,599,091
Eventual supply (max supply)1,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.18x
Total value locked$380.0M
Listed onBinance, OKX, Coinbase, dYdX DEX

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to DYDX measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [dYdX Blog] dYdX migrated from Ethereum L2 to its own Cosmos-based appchain (dYdX Chain) in late 2023
  • [DeFiLlama] dYdX Chain TVL ~$380M with 60+ perpetual markets and institutional-grade order book
  • [CoinGecko] DYDX ATH $27.86 reached November 2021; now 99.5% below that level
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for dYdX (DYDX)?
DYDX scores 109 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 97th of 251 rated tokens (upper half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are DYDX's strongest fundamentals?
DYDX ranks highest on TVL Trend 5/10, 30th of 251, Institutional Adoption 5/10, 36th of 251, Exchange Depth 6/10, 37th of 251 and Protocol Revenue 5/10, 37th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the DYDX thesis?
DYDX scores in the bottom third of the universe on Vesting Schedule 3/10, 204th of 251, Insider Selling 3/10, 201st of 251 and Supply Inflation 3/10, 199th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: 99.5% below ATH; only 52% circulating with multi-year vesting ongoing; Hyperliquid and GMX eating market share; dYdX chain bootstrapping uncertain
How much DYDX supply is still to enter circulation?
84.9% of eventual DYDX supply is circulating today, leaving 1.18x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 15.1% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is DYDX from its all-time high?
DYDX trades 97.4% below its all-time high of $4.52. Returning to that high requires a 38.5x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to DYDX?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to DYDX are POL (123), USUAL (99), ICP (102) and APT (116). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for DYDX?
dYdX v4 fee distribution to stakers; multi-asset perp expansion; institutional market maker onboarding

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.