CAUTIOUS HOLD

Polygon system Token (POL)

Polygon's new staking and gas token replacing MATIC. AggLayer cross-chain aggregation is the core thesis but token vesting schedule is heavy.

Ranked 56th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
123/250
56th of 251
Percentile
78.1%
of the rated universe
Circulating
100%
0% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-94.2%
17.2x to recover
PolygonERC-20+8 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

POL scores 123 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 56th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.

POL is a top-10 name in the set on 2 variables. The score rests on Developer Activity 7/10, 9th of 251, Holder Concentration 5/10, 10th of 251, Exchange Depth 7/10, 12th of 251 and Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251.

Against the same universe, POL sits in the bottom third on Vesting Schedule 3/10, 204th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 4/10, 203rd of 251 and Supply Inflation 3/10, 199th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

100% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for POL. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

POL trades 94.2% below its all-time high of $1.29. Recovering that level is a 17.2x move, not a 94.2% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 8 points against the previous pass (115 to 123). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$650.0M sits in the protocol. Each dollar of value locked carries 1.23 dollars of token market cap.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for POL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
460th of 251
Revenue Trend
471st of 251
P/S Multiple
4104th of 251
Real Staking Yield
537th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for POL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
3199th of 251
Vesting Schedule
3204th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
4203rd of 251
Buyback and Burn
363rd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for POL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
548th of 251
Insider Selling
4151st of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for POL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
530th of 251
Active Users
624th of 251
Developer Activity
79th of 251
Network Growth
632nd of 251

Position

Position variables for POL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
552nd of 251
Competitive Moat
557th of 251
Institutional Adoption
626th of 251
Exchange Depth
712th of 251
Social Mindshare
541st of 251

Risk

Risk variables for POL, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
717th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
550th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
630th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

AggLayer connecting all Polygon CDK chains into unified liquidity layer; ETH Foundation alignment

Principal risk

Only 38% circulating; MATIC migration not fully complete; AggLayer adoption slower than expected

04

Market and supply

Price$0.0748
Market cap$799.2Mrank 77
All-time high$1.2913 Mar 2024
Circulating supply10,691,458,078
Eventual supply (total supply)10,691,458,078
Dilution to full supply1x
Total value locked$650.0M
Listed onBinance, Coinbase, OKX, Bybit, Kraken

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to POL measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [Polygon Blog] POL replaced MATIC as Polygon's native gas and staking token in 2024link dead, claim unverified
  • [Polygon Labs] AggLayer v1 launched connecting Polygon chains with unified cross-chain liquidity
  • [Messari] POL circulating supply 38% of total as migration from MATIC continues

One source link above no longer resolves, so we stripped the hyperlink rather than leave something that looks like evidence until you click it. The claims stay visible because they are part of the research record, but treat them as unverified. Every link was rechecked 6 Aug 2026.

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Polygon system Token (POL)?
POL scores 123 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 56th of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.
What are POL's strongest fundamentals?
POL ranks highest on Developer Activity 7/10, 9th of 251, Holder Concentration 5/10, 10th of 251, Exchange Depth 7/10, 12th of 251 and Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the POL thesis?
POL scores in the bottom third of the universe on Vesting Schedule 3/10, 204th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 4/10, 203rd of 251 and Supply Inflation 3/10, 199th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Only 38% circulating; MATIC migration not fully complete; AggLayer adoption slower than expected
How much POL supply is still to enter circulation?
100% of eventual POL supply is circulating today, leaving 1x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 0% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is POL from its all-time high?
POL trades 94.2% below its all-time high of $1.29. Returning to that high requires a 17.2x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to POL?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to POL are FIL (101), PYTH (107), IMX (117) and OP (123). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for POL?
AggLayer connecting all Polygon CDK chains into unified liquidity layer; ETH Foundation alignment

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.