HOLD

Ether.fi (ETHFI)

$7.8B TVL on $350M mcap (22x TVL/MC). $50M buyback active. 84% circ. 250M token releases ahead.

Ranked 12th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
162/250
12th of 251
Percentile
95.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
97.3%
2.7% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-95.8%
23.8x to recover
EthereumERC-20+92 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

ETHFI scores 162 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 12th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top 5% of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.

ETHFI is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Buyback and Burn 9/10, 2nd of 251, P/S Multiple 8/10, 2nd of 251, Market Share 8/10, 4th of 251 and Real Staking Yield 7/10, 5th of 251.

97.3% of eventual supply is already circulating, so vesting is not a live risk for ETHFI. Price has to be justified by demand rather than absorbed against a cliff.

ETHFI trades 95.8% below its all-time high of $8.53. Recovering that level is a 23.8x move, not a 95.8% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 92 points against the previous pass (70 to 162). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$7.80B sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for ETHFI, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
710th of 251
Revenue Trend
76th of 251
P/S Multiple
82nd of 251
Real Staking Yield
75th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for ETHFI, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
561st of 251
Vesting Schedule
5100th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
746th of 251
Buyback and Burn
92nd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for ETHFI, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
712th of 251
Insider Selling
78th of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for ETHFI, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
86th of 251
Active Users
624th of 251
Developer Activity
633rd of 251
Network Growth
712th of 251

Position

Position variables for ETHFI, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
84th of 251
Competitive Moat
629th of 251
Institutional Adoption
626th of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
541st of 251

Risk

Risk variables for ETHFI, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
652nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
715th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
445th of 251
Team Execution
712th of 251
Treasury Runway
711th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

$50M buyback active (99% DAO approval), ETH staking ETF narrative, EtherFi Cash card

Principal risk

token release to 2027, ETH price dependency, Lido competition (#1 LST)

04

Market and supply

Price$0.3611
Market cap$351.4Mrank 116
All-time high$8.5327 Mar 2024
Circulating supply973,468,000
Eventual supply (max supply)1,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.03x
Total value locked$7.80B
Listed onBinance, MEXC, Gate.io

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to ETHFI measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Ether.fi (ETHFI)?
ETHFI scores 162 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 12th of 251 rated tokens (top 5%). The framework verdict is HOLD.
What are ETHFI's strongest fundamentals?
ETHFI ranks highest on Buyback and Burn 9/10, 2nd of 251, P/S Multiple 8/10, 2nd of 251, Market Share 8/10, 4th of 251 and Real Staking Yield 7/10, 5th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
How much ETHFI supply is still to enter circulation?
97.3% of eventual ETHFI supply is circulating today, leaving 1.03x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 2.7% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is ETHFI from its all-time high?
ETHFI trades 95.8% below its all-time high of $8.53. Returning to that high requires a 23.8x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to ETHFI?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to ETHFI are SYRUP (168), ACX (137), MKR (177) and DRIFT (142). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for ETHFI?
$50M buyback active (99% DAO approval), ETH staking ETF narrative, EtherFi Cash card

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.