HOLD

GEODNET (GEOD)

Revenue NOT declining: Q2 2026 $1.93M (+10% QoQ). ARR $7.3-9.5M. 80% burn Foundation-controlled (governance, not smart contract). ATH $0.3746 not $0.43. 20K+ stations, 150+ countries. P/S 9.9-14.4x (expensive vs Helium 3.1x). Deflationary crossover approaching post-Jun 2026 halving.

Ranked 7th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
169/250
7th of 251
Percentile
97.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
45.4%
54.6% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-51.5%
2.1x to recover
SolanaSPL / ERC-20+3 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

GEOD scores 169 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 7th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top 5% of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.

GEOD is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Active Users 8/10, 1st of 251, Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Smart Money Flows 9/10, 2nd of 251 and Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251.

Only 45.4% of GEOD's maximum supply is in circulation, so 2.2x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 54.6% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a heavy overhang: most of the eventual supply has not reached the market yet.

GEOD is 51.5% off its all-time high of $0.3743, a 2.1x round trip from here.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for GEOD, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
85th of 251
Revenue Trend
615th of 251
P/S Multiple
79th of 251
Real Staking Yield
617th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for GEOD, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
4146th of 251
Vesting Schedule
5100th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
688th of 251
Buyback and Burn
713th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for GEOD, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
92nd of 251
Insider Selling
82nd of 251
Holder Concentration
61st of 251

Traction

Traction variables for GEOD, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
619th of 251
Active Users
81st of 251
Developer Activity
633rd of 251
Network Growth
84th of 251

Position

Position variables for GEOD, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
84th of 251
Competitive Moat
714th of 251
Institutional Adoption
89th of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
711th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for GEOD, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
717th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
715th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
513th of 251
Team Execution
83rd of 251
Treasury Runway
711th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Catalyst on the scorecard

Jun 30 2026 halving (12→6 GEOD/day) accelerates deflationary crossover, Japan/Iceland StableHex expansion (Jun 8), Binance listing 12-18mo (40-55% probability), humanoid robot positioning (Multicoin $8M thesis), GEODASH ag drone JV (Q3 2026 commercial)

The Jun 8 item has already passed. This was written as forward-looking at the 11 Jun 2026 scoring pass, so read those parts as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Principal risk

P/S 9.9-14.4x expensive vs Helium (3.1x) and Trimble (4.5x), FCC licensing gap for distributed RTK radio (individual operator licenses needed), no formal 99.9% SLA for enterprise customers, NVIDIA/humanoid robot connection is pure speculation (zero confirmed partnerships), 37.7% supply still locked with ongoing investor releases through 2029

04

Market and supply

Price$0.1816
Market cap$82.5Mrank 288
All-time high$0.374325 Jan 2025
Circulating supply454,135,403
Eventual supply (max supply)1,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply2.2x
Listed onGate.io, MEXC, Coinbase

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to GEOD measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

One source link above no longer resolves, so we stripped the hyperlink rather than leave something that looks like evidence until you click it. The claims stay visible because they are part of the research record, but treat them as unverified. Every link was rechecked 6 Aug 2026.

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for GEODNET (GEOD)?
GEOD scores 169 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 7th of 251 rated tokens (top 5%). The framework verdict is HOLD.
What are GEOD's strongest fundamentals?
GEOD ranks highest on Active Users 8/10, 1st of 251, Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Smart Money Flows 9/10, 2nd of 251 and Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
How much GEOD supply is still to enter circulation?
45.4% of eventual GEOD supply is circulating today, leaving 2.2x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 54.6% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is GEOD from its all-time high?
GEOD trades 51.5% below its all-time high of $0.3743. Returning to that high requires a 2.1x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to GEOD?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to GEOD are KMNO (138), AERO (157), ENS (137) and SAFE (132). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What catalyst was GEOD scored against?
Jun 30 2026 halving (12→6 GEOD/day) accelerates deflationary crossover, Japan/Iceland StableHex expansion (Jun 8), Binance listing 12-18mo (40-55% probability), humanoid robot positioning (Multicoin $8M thesis), GEODASH ag drone JV (Q3 2026 commercial) This was written as forward-looking when the scoring pass ran. The Jun 8 item has since passed, so read that part as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.