GEODNET (GEOD)
Revenue NOT declining: Q2 2026 $1.93M (+10% QoQ). ARR $7.3-9.5M. 80% burn Foundation-controlled (governance, not smart contract). ATH $0.3746 not $0.43. 20K+ stations, 150+ countries. P/S 9.9-14.4x (expensive vs Helium 3.1x). Deflationary crossover approaching post-Jun 2026 halving.
Ranked 7th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.
What the numbers say
GEOD scores 169 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 7th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top 5% of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.
GEOD is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Active Users 8/10, 1st of 251, Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Smart Money Flows 9/10, 2nd of 251 and Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251.
Only 45.4% of GEOD's maximum supply is in circulation, so 2.2x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 54.6% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a heavy overhang: most of the eventual supply has not reached the market yet.
GEOD is 51.5% off its all-time high of $0.3743, a 2.1x round trip from here.
25-variable breakdown
Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.
Cash flow
| Protocol Revenue | 8 | 5th of 251 | |
| Revenue Trend | 6 | 15th of 251 | |
| P/S Multiple | 7 | 9th of 251 | |
| Real Staking Yield | 6 | 17th of 251 |
Supply
| Supply Inflation | 4 | 146th of 251 | |
| Vesting Schedule | 5 | 100th of 251 | |
| Circulating / FDV Ratio | 6 | 88th of 251 | |
| Buyback and Burn | 7 | 13th of 251 |
Ownership
| Smart Money Flows | 9 | 2nd of 251 | |
| Insider Selling | 8 | 2nd of 251 | |
| Holder Concentration | 6 | 1st of 251 |
Traction
| TVL Trend | 6 | 19th of 251 | |
| Active Users | 8 | 1st of 251 | |
| Developer Activity | 6 | 33rd of 251 | |
| Network Growth | 8 | 4th of 251 |
Position
| Market Share | 8 | 4th of 251 | |
| Competitive Moat | 7 | 14th of 251 | |
| Institutional Adoption | 8 | 9th of 251 | |
| Exchange Depth | 5 | 73rd of 251 | |
| Social Mindshare | 7 | 11th of 251 |
Risk
| Regulatory Safety | 7 | 17th of 251 | |
| Catalyst Calendar | 7 | 15th of 251 | |
| BTC Alpha Potential | 5 | 13th of 251 | |
| Team Execution | 8 | 3rd of 251 | |
| Treasury Runway | 7 | 11th of 251 |
The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.
Catalyst and risk
Catalyst on the scorecard
Jun 30 2026 halving (12→6 GEOD/day) accelerates deflationary crossover, Japan/Iceland StableHex expansion (Jun 8), Binance listing 12-18mo (40-55% probability), humanoid robot positioning (Multicoin $8M thesis), GEODASH ag drone JV (Q3 2026 commercial)
The Jun 8 item has already passed. This was written as forward-looking at the 11 Jun 2026 scoring pass, so read those parts as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.
Principal risk
P/S 9.9-14.4x expensive vs Helium (3.1x) and Trimble (4.5x), FCC licensing gap for distributed RTK radio (individual operator licenses needed), no formal 99.9% SLA for enterprise customers, NVIDIA/humanoid robot connection is pure speculation (zero confirmed partnerships), 37.7% supply still locked with ongoing investor releases through 2029
Market and supply
| Price | $0.1816 |
| Market cap | $82.5Mrank 288 |
| All-time high | $0.374325 Jan 2025 |
| Circulating supply | 454,135,403 |
| Eventual supply (max supply) | 1,000,000,000 |
| Dilution to full supply | 2.2x |
| Listed on | Gate.io, MEXC, Coinbase |
Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.
Tokens with a similar profile
These are the closest matches to GEOD measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.
Sources
- [CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap] ATH $0.3746 (Jan 25, 2025), NOT $0.43
- [DeFiLlama] Q2 2026 revenue $1.93M (+10% QoQ), NOT declining
- [DeFiLlama / Messari] Annualized fees $9.5M (DeFiLlama), ARR $7.3M (Dec 2025)
- [GEODNET Docs / DePIN Hub] 80% buyback-burn is GeoDAO governance-controlled, not smart contract enforced
- [CoinDesk / BusinessWire] Multicoin $8M (Feb 2025), total $15M raised, 22 investors, zero selling evidence
- [Messari Q3 2025] 20,500+ RTK stations across 150+ countries, world's largest (4x Trimble)
- [Derived calculation] P/S 9.9x on $7.3M ARR (mcap basis), expensive vs Helium 3.1x, Trimble 4.5x
- [Grid Economics / Messari] Deflationary crossover threshold $5.5M ARR post-Jun 2026 halving (6 GEOD/day)
- [GEODNET Medium] Polygon→Solana migration (GIP-7 Q3 2025), Polygon support until Mar 2027
- [GEODNET Substack] NRCAN RTK compliance certification (Sep 2025), only country with formal compliance
- [Penn State / FCC] FCC licensing required for distributed RTK radio transmission (UHF 450-470 MHz)
- [VanEck] VanEck invested directly, holds <0.5% FDV, published 'Why We're Bullish'
One source link above no longer resolves, so we stripped the hyperlink rather than leave something that looks like evidence until you click it. The claims stay visible because they are part of the research record, but treat them as unverified. Every link was rechecked 6 Aug 2026.
Common questions
- What is the Early Thunder score for GEODNET (GEOD)?
- GEOD scores 169 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 7th of 251 rated tokens (top 5%). The framework verdict is HOLD.
- What are GEOD's strongest fundamentals?
- GEOD ranks highest on Active Users 8/10, 1st of 251, Holder Concentration 6/10, 1st of 251, Smart Money Flows 9/10, 2nd of 251 and Insider Selling 8/10, 2nd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
- How much GEOD supply is still to enter circulation?
- 45.4% of eventual GEOD supply is circulating today, leaving 2.2x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 54.6% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
- How far is GEOD from its all-time high?
- GEOD trades 51.5% below its all-time high of $0.3743. Returning to that high requires a 2.1x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
- Which tokens have a similar profile to GEOD?
- Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to GEOD are KMNO (138), AERO (157), ENS (137) and SAFE (132). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
- What catalyst was GEOD scored against?
- Jun 30 2026 halving (12→6 GEOD/day) accelerates deflationary crossover, Japan/Iceland StableHex expansion (Jun 8), Binance listing 12-18mo (40-55% probability), humanoid robot positioning (Multicoin $8M thesis), GEODASH ag drone JV (Q3 2026 commercial) This was written as forward-looking when the scoring pass ran. The Jun 8 item has since passed, so read that part as history. Anything else listed may still be ahead.
Keep reading
Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.