CAUTIOUS HOLD

Fluid (Instadapp) (FLUID)

Unique Smart Collateral/Debt DeFi primitive (39x capital efficiency). $12.66M rev trailing BUT $5.6M current run rate (declining -63%). Buybacks HALTED post-Resolv ($21M bad debt). TVL -92% from peak. P/S 6.8x trailing / 15.4x current. Zero inflation, 78.7% circ. Top-tier VCs (Pantera, Naval, Coinbase). 55% stablecoin swap share.

Ranked 25th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
145/250
25th of 251
Percentile
90.4%
of the rated universe
Circulating
78.7%
21.3% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-95.1%
20.4x to recover
EthereumERC-20+2 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

FLUID scores 145 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 25th of 251 rated tokens and inside the top 10% of the set. The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.

FLUID is a top-10 name in the set on 4 variables. The score rests on Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251, Insider Selling 7/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251.

Only 78.7% of FLUID's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.27x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 21.3% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

FLUID trades 95.1% below its all-time high of $24.40. Recovering that level is a 20.4x move, not a 95.1% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

$726.4M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for FLUID, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
621st of 251
Revenue Trend
471st of 251
P/S Multiple
79th of 251
Real Staking Yield
3143rd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for FLUID, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
88th of 251
Vesting Schedule
821st of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
746th of 251
Buyback and Burn
440th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for FLUID, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
712th of 251
Insider Selling
78th of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for FLUID, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
530th of 251
Active Users
538th of 251
Developer Activity
79th of 251
Network Growth
712th of 251

Position

Position variables for FLUID, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
720th of 251
Competitive Moat
85th of 251
Institutional Adoption
536th of 251
Exchange Depth
4157th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for FLUID, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
5102nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
715th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
712th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

DEX v2 (volatile pairs + cross-margin). Solana DEX launch Q3 2026. Buyback restoration when treasury recovers. Venus Flux BNB growth. Jupiter Lend expansion on Solana.

Principal risk

Revenue declining -63% ($15M peak → $5.6M run rate). Buybacks HALTED. TVL -92% from peak ($9.2B → $726M). Two security incidents in 2026 (Resolv $21M bad debt + Merkle key compromise $215K). Treasury depleted (~$5M liquid). 4-day disclosure delay on May incident. NOT on Binance.

04

Market and supply

Price$1.20
Market cap$94.6Mrank 267
All-time high$24.4016 Jun 2021
Circulating supply78,696,997
Eventual supply (max supply)100,000,000
Dilution to full supply1.27x
Total value locked$726.4M
Listed onBybit, OKX, Coinbase, MEXC, Upbit

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to FLUID measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [DeFiLlama] DeFiLlama: Fees $76.07M annualized, Revenue (net to protocol) $12.66M, 30d revenue $559,823
  • [DeFiLlama] TVL $726.38M total (Lending $592.87M + DEX $245.04M). Down from $9.2B peak Feb 2025 (-92%)
  • [DeFiLlama DEX API] DEX volume: $225.6B cumulative all-time, $5.13B/30d. Fastest DEX to $100B
  • [CoinJournal / Dune Analytics] Stablecoin swap market share 55.5% across ETH/Base/Arb/Polygon (Aug 2025 Dune data)
  • [Blockonomi / DeFiPrime] Resolv bad debt: $21M absorbed (Resolv $9.7M + Fluid DAO $8.2M + team $1.5M). Buybacks halted
  • [CryptoTimes] Key compromise May 27: 125K FLUID + 51.9K GHO stolen. 4-day disclosure delay. Core unaffected
  • [Tokenomist.ai] 100M hard cap. Zero inflation. Fully released since June 2025. 78.69M circulating (78.7%)
  • [CoinDesk] Seed $2.4M (Pantera, Naval, Coinbase Ventures, Robot Ventures). Series A $10M (Standard Crypto, Cronje)
  • [Unchained Crypto] Jupiter Lend powered by Fluid on Solana. Bitwise-curated isolated market launched May 13, 2026
  • [CryptoAdventure] Venus Flux on BNB Chain launched Feb 26. Hit $100M market size in 6 hours
  • [Instadapp Blog / Apollo Crypto] Smart Collateral/Debt: 39x capital efficiency at 95% LTV wstETH-ETH vault. 15% gas savings vs Uni v4
  • [Fluid Docs] 7+ audits: MixBytes, StateMind, Cantina, PeckShield, OpenZeppelin. $500K Immunefi bounty
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Fluid (Instadapp) (FLUID)?
FLUID scores 145 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 25th of 251 rated tokens (top 10%). The framework verdict is CAUTIOUS HOLD.
What are FLUID's strongest fundamentals?
FLUID ranks highest on Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251, Supply Inflation 8/10, 8th of 251, Insider Selling 7/10, 8th of 251 and P/S Multiple 7/10, 9th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
How much FLUID supply is still to enter circulation?
78.7% of eventual FLUID supply is circulating today, leaving 1.27x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 21.3% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is FLUID from its all-time high?
FLUID trades 95.1% below its all-time high of $24.40. Returning to that high requires a 20.4x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to FLUID?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to FLUID are COW (167), AR (140), POOL (96) and RAD (97). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for FLUID?
DEX v2 (volatile pairs + cross-margin). Solana DEX launch Q3 2026. Buyback restoration when treasury recovers. Venus Flux BNB growth. Jupiter Lend expansion on Solana.

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.