PASS

ZKsync (ZK)

ZK rollup with strong tech but catastrophic tokenomics; airdrop dump destroyed community trust and TVL collapsed 90%+

Ranked 167th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
95/250
167th of 251
Percentile
33.9%
of the rated universe
Circulating
48.1%
51.9% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-97.5%
40x to recover
zkSyncERC-20+3 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

ZK scores 95 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 167th of 251 rated tokens and inside the lower half of the set. The framework verdict is PASS.

The score rests on Exchange Depth 7/10, 12th of 251, Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251, P/S Multiple 6/10, 23rd of 251 and Treasury Runway 6/10, 33rd of 251.

Against the same universe, ZK sits in the bottom third on Vesting Schedule 1/10, 244th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 2/10, 241st of 251, Supply Inflation 2/10, 228th of 251 and Insider Selling 3/10, 201st of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 48.1% of ZK's maximum supply is in circulation, so 2.08x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 51.9% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a heavy overhang: most of the eventual supply has not reached the market yet.

ZK trades 97.5% below its all-time high of $0.3210. Recovering that level is a 40x move, not a 97.5% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

$95.0M sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for ZK, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
398th of 251
Revenue Trend
3117th of 251
P/S Multiple
623rd of 251
Real Staking Yield
3143rd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for ZK, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
2228th of 251
Vesting Schedule
1244th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
2241st of 251
Buyback and Burn
2114th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for ZK, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
493rd of 251
Insider Selling
3201st of 251
Holder Concentration
3197th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for ZK, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
3111th of 251
Active Users
3149th of 251
Developer Activity
583rd of 251
Network Growth
4100th of 251

Position

Position variables for ZK, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
3131st of 251
Competitive Moat
557th of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
712th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for ZK, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
717th of 251
Catalyst Calendar
490th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
3114th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

ZK Stack elastic chain network expansion and ZKsync native account abstraction adoption

Principal risk

Only 17% circulating supply with years of heavy releases ahead; TVL and developer activity abandoned after airdrop controversy

04

Market and supply

Price$0.008051
Market cap$81.3Mrank 292
All-time high$0.321017 Jun 2024
Circulating supply10,100,039,093
Eventual supply (max supply)21,000,000,000
Dilution to full supply2.08x
Total value locked$95.0M
Listed onBinance, Bybit, OKX

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to ZK measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [Blockworks] ZKsync airdrop in June 2024 was widely criticized for insider allocations and Sybil exclusions; token dumped 60% post-launch
  • [DefiLlama] ZKsync TVL collapsed from $700M to under $100M by Q1 2026 as developers migrated to Arbitrum/Base
  • [TokenUnlocks] Only 17% of ZK supply circulating; massive vesting schedule through 2028 guarantees sustained sell pressure
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for ZKsync (ZK)?
ZK scores 95 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 167th of 251 rated tokens (lower half). The framework verdict is PASS.
What are ZK's strongest fundamentals?
ZK ranks highest on Exchange Depth 7/10, 12th of 251, Regulatory Safety 7/10, 17th of 251, P/S Multiple 6/10, 23rd of 251 and Treasury Runway 6/10, 33rd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the ZK thesis?
ZK scores in the bottom third of the universe on Vesting Schedule 1/10, 244th of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 2/10, 241st of 251, Supply Inflation 2/10, 228th of 251 and Insider Selling 3/10, 201st of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Only 17% circulating supply with years of heavy releases ahead; TVL and developer activity abandoned after airdrop controversy
How much ZK supply is still to enter circulation?
48.1% of eventual ZK supply is circulating today, leaving 2.08x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 51.9% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is ZK from its all-time high?
ZK trades 97.5% below its all-time high of $0.3210. Returning to that high requires a 40x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to ZK?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to ZK are STRK (93), SCROLL (102), IO (108) and BLUR (84). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for ZK?
ZK Stack elastic chain network expansion and ZKsync native account abstraction adoption

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.