WATCH

Fetch.ai (ASI Alliance) (FET)

ASI Alliance merger token (FET+AGIX+OCEAN). AI agent narrative intact but protocol revenue minimal and merger synergies unclear.

Ranked 97th of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
109/250
97th of 251
Percentile
61.8%
of the rated universe
Circulating
82.2%
17.8% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-96%
25x to recover
EthereumERC-20-2 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

FET scores 109 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 97th of 251 rated tokens and inside the upper half of the set. The framework verdict is WATCH.

FET is a top-10 name in the set on one variable. The score rests on Holder Concentration 5/10, 10th of 251, Social Mindshare 6/10, 23rd of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 8/10, 27th of 251 and Developer Activity 6/10, 33rd of 251.

Against the same universe, FET sits in the bottom third on BTC Alpha Potential 1/10, 240th of 251, Competitive Moat 2/10, 223rd of 251, Protocol Revenue 1/10, 221st of 251 and P/S Multiple 3/10, 182nd of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 82.2% of FET's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.22x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 17.8% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

FET trades 96% below its all-time high of $3.45. Recovering that level is a 25x move, not a 96% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for FET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
1221st of 251
Revenue Trend
471st of 251
P/S Multiple
3182nd of 251
Real Staking Yield
482nd of 251

Supply

Supply variables for FET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
643rd of 251
Vesting Schedule
659th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
827th of 251
Buyback and Burn
2114th of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for FET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
548th of 251
Insider Selling
542nd of 251
Holder Concentration
510th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for FET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
3111th of 251
Active Users
491st of 251
Developer Activity
633rd of 251
Network Growth
552nd of 251

Position

Position variables for FET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
487th of 251
Competitive Moat
2223rd of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
573rd of 251
Social Mindshare
623rd of 251

Risk

Risk variables for FET, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
5102nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
550th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
1240th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
574th of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

ASI Alliance AI marketplace revenue; partnerships with major AI labs

Principal risk

Merger integration complexity; AI narrative may be priced in; actual AI revenue de minimis

04

Market and supply

Price$0.1366
Market cap$304.5Mrank 125
All-time high$3.4528 Mar 2024
Circulating supply2,231,135,031
Eventual supply (max supply)2,714,384,547
Dilution to full supply1.22x
Listed onBinance, OKX, Bybit, Coinbase

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to FET measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

  • [ASI Alliance] ASI Alliance formed by merger of Fetch.ai, SingularityNET and Ocean Protocol in 2024
  • [Fetch.ai Blog] FET rebranded to ASI with unified token representing merged AI network
  • [CoinDesk] AI agent token narrative drove 300%+ gains in early 2024 before correction
07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Fetch.ai (ASI Alliance) (FET)?
FET scores 109 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 97th of 251 rated tokens (upper half). The framework verdict is WATCH.
What are FET's strongest fundamentals?
FET ranks highest on Holder Concentration 5/10, 10th of 251, Social Mindshare 6/10, 23rd of 251, Circulating / FDV Ratio 8/10, 27th of 251 and Developer Activity 6/10, 33rd of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the FET thesis?
FET scores in the bottom third of the universe on BTC Alpha Potential 1/10, 240th of 251, Competitive Moat 2/10, 223rd of 251, Protocol Revenue 1/10, 221st of 251 and P/S Multiple 3/10, 182nd of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Merger integration complexity; AI narrative may be priced in; actual AI revenue de minimis
How much FET supply is still to enter circulation?
82.2% of eventual FET supply is circulating today, leaving 1.22x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 17.8% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is FET from its all-time high?
FET trades 96% below its all-time high of $3.45. Returning to that high requires a 25x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to FET?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to FET are RENDER (127), THETA (105), ADA (113) and COMP (119). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for FET?
ASI Alliance AI marketplace revenue; partnerships with major AI labs

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.