HOLD

Curve Finance (CRV)

44% of ETH DEX fee revenue is extraordinary. veCRV/Convex lock-in. ATH -96% (not -99.6%, illiquid spike).

Ranked 32nd of 251 rated tokens. Scoring pass 11 Jun 2026.

Score
140/250
32nd of 251
Percentile
87.6%
of the rated universe
Circulating
51%
49% of value still to vest
Off all-time high
-98.6%
71.4x to recover
EthereumERC-20+85 since last pass
01

What the numbers say

CRV scores 140 of 250 across the 25-variable framework, which places it 32nd of 251 rated tokens and inside the top quartile of the set. The framework verdict is HOLD.

CRV is a top-10 name in the set on 3 variables. The score rests on Developer Activity 8/10, 1st of 251, Protocol Revenue 8/10, 5th of 251, Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251 and TVL Trend 7/10, 11th of 251.

Against the same universe, CRV sits in the bottom third on BTC Alpha Potential 2/10, 200th of 251. These are the variables that would have to move for the verdict to change.

Only 51% of CRV's maximum supply is in circulation, so 1.96x the current float is still scheduled to arrive. Holding price per token flat while the rest enters circulation implies 49% of the fully diluted value sitting ahead of today's holders. That is a real but manageable overhang.

CRV trades 98.6% below its all-time high of $15.37. Recovering that level is a 71.4x move, not a 98.6% one, which is the arithmetic most drawdown charts hide.

The framework score gained 85 points against the previous pass (55 to 140). Revisions of this size follow a change in the underlying variables, not a change in price.

$3.20B sits in the protocol. The token is capitalised below the value locked in the protocol.

02

25-variable breakdown

Each variable is scored 1 to 10 and ranked against every other rated token, so a 7 that ranks 20th means something different from a 7 that ranks 180th. The rank is the part that is hard to get anywhere else.

Cash flow

Cash flow variables for CRV, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Protocol Revenue
85th of 251
Revenue Trend
615th of 251
P/S Multiple
538th of 251
Real Staking Yield
617th of 251

Supply

Supply variables for CRV, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Supply Inflation
561st of 251
Vesting Schedule
735th of 251
Circulating / FDV Ratio
746th of 251
Buyback and Burn
363rd of 251

Ownership

Ownership variables for CRV, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Smart Money Flows
548th of 251
Insider Selling
4151st of 251
Holder Concentration
458th of 251

Traction

Traction variables for CRV, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
TVL Trend
711th of 251
Active Users
538th of 251
Developer Activity
81st of 251
Network Growth
712th of 251

Position

Position variables for CRV, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Market Share
720th of 251
Competitive Moat
85th of 251
Institutional Adoption
471st of 251
Exchange Depth
637th of 251
Social Mindshare
486th of 251

Risk

Risk variables for CRV, scored 1 to 10 and ranked against 251 tokens
Regulatory Safety
5102nd of 251
Catalyst Calendar
629th of 251
BTC Alpha Potential
2200th of 251
Team Execution
574th of 251
Treasury Runway
633rd of 251

The vertical tick on each bar marks the median score across all 251 rated tokens, so a bar ending left of the tick is below the universe on that variable.

03

Catalyst and risk

Next catalyst

Yield Basis mainnet, crvUSD growth, 44% ETH DEX fee revenue share

Principal risk

Egorov liquidated TWICE ($140M+), -96% from ATH, Uniswap V4 competition

04

Market and supply

Price$0.2136
Market cap$330.0Mrank 119
All-time high$15.3713 Aug 2020
Circulating supply1,545,199,779
Eventual supply (max supply)3,030,303,031
Dilution to full supply1.96x
Total value locked$3.20B
Listed onBinance, Coinbase, OKX

Price, market cap, supply and all-time high from CoinGecko, fetched 6 Aug 2026. The 25 scores come from the research pass dated 11 Jun 2026 and don't move with price.

05

Tokens with a similar profile

These are the closest matches to CRV measured on the shape of all 25 variables after removing overall quality, so what they share is a pattern of strengths and weaknesses rather than a similar size or price.

06

Sources

07

Common questions

What is the Early Thunder score for Curve Finance (CRV)?
CRV scores 140 out of 250 on the 25-variable framework, ranking 32nd of 251 rated tokens (top quartile). The framework verdict is HOLD.
What are CRV's strongest fundamentals?
CRV ranks highest on Developer Activity 8/10, 1st of 251, Protocol Revenue 8/10, 5th of 251, Competitive Moat 8/10, 5th of 251 and TVL Trend 7/10, 11th of 251. Ranks are measured against all 251 tokens in the same scoring pass.
What are the weakest parts of the CRV thesis?
CRV scores in the bottom third of the universe on BTC Alpha Potential 2/10, 200th of 251. The single risk carried on the scorecard is: Egorov liquidated TWICE ($140M+), -96% from ATH, Uniswap V4 competition
How much CRV supply is still to enter circulation?
51% of eventual CRV supply is circulating today, leaving 1.96x the current float still to arrive. At a flat price per token that is 49% of fully diluted value ahead of current holders.
How far is CRV from its all-time high?
CRV trades 98.6% below its all-time high of $15.37. Returning to that high requires a 71.4x move from the level used in this scoring pass.
Which tokens have a similar profile to CRV?
Measured on the shape of all 25 scored variables rather than on price, the closest matches to CRV are LDO (146), JOE (117), LPT (123) and GRT (121). Similarity here means the same pattern of strengths and weaknesses, not a similar market cap.
What is the next catalyst for CRV?
Yield Basis mainnet, crvUSD growth, 44% ETH DEX fee revenue share

Keep reading

Research and analysis, not investment advice. Scores are one framework applied consistently across 251 tokens, not a prediction of price.