Crypto with no unlock overhang
Which cryptocurrencies have no unlock overhang?
Scoring pass 18 Sept 2026. Market snapshot 28 Sept 2026.
What this list asks
The rule
A token qualifies when its Vesting Schedule variable (scored 1 to 10 across the universe on cliff releases, emission transparency, and how much supply is still locked) sits in the top quartile, and market capitalisation is at least $100M.
Unlock calendars are the most predictable sell-pressure in crypto, and most lists cover them token by token. Ranking the inverse, the tokens with nothing waiting to vest, gives the shortlist of assets where dilution surprises are structurally off the table.
The insight this dataset adds
The vesting-schedule variable co-moves 0.87 with supply inflation across the universe, so this list overlaps heavily with the most-deflationary ranking, but it is not the same list. Vesting measures the calendar; inflation measures the running issuance rate. A token can have finished vesting and still run high emissions, and the two columns on each row show which case applies. Universe median on the variable is 5 of 10; 58 tokens score 7 or above.
The 40 tokens
Ranked by composite score within the qualifying set. Every row links to the full token page, where the variable-by-variable scores behind the ranking are published.
| # | Token | Vesting var | Score | Verdict | Market cap | Dilution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethereum ETH | 10/10 | 187/250 | HOLD CORE | $327.18B | 1x |
| 2 | Wrapped Lido Staked ETH WSTETH | 10/10 | 185/250 | HOLD CORE | $12.39B | 1x |
| 3 | Bitcoin BTC | 10/10 | 183/250 | HOLD CORE | $1.68T | 1.05x |
| 4 | Solana SOL | 7/10 | 170/250 | HOLD | $69.93B | 1.08x |
| 5 | Maple Finance SYRUP | 6/10 | 168/250 | HOLD | $248.9M | 1.07x |
| 6 | Uniswap UNI | 9/10 | 167/250 | HOLD | $5.52B | 1.61x |
| 7 | Pendle Finance PENDLE | 9/10 | 160/250 | HOLD | $415.3M | 1.62x |
| 8 | Rocket Pool ETH RETH | 10/10 | 159/250 | HOLD | $992.1M | 1x |
| 9 | Coinbase Wrapped Staked ETH CBETH | 10/10 | 158/250 | HOLD | $508.2M | 2.25x |
| 10 | Aave AAVE | 9/10 | 156/250 | HOLD | $2.27B | 1.04x |
| 11 | Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL | 9/10 | 151/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $534.4M | 1.52x |
| 12 | Jupiter JUP | 7/10 | 151/250 | HOLD | $1.09B | 3.01x |
| 13 | Lido DAO LDO | 7/10 | 146/250 | HOLD | $372.2M | 1.21x |
| 14 | Fluid (Instadapp) FLUID | 8/10 | 145/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $118.5M | 1.19x |
| 15 | OKB OKB | 7/10 | 145/250 | HOLD | $2.48B | 1x |
| 16 | BNB BNB | 7/10 | 144/250 | HOLD | $102.03B | 1.5x |
| 17 | PAX Gold PAXG | 10/10 | 141/250 | HOLD | $1.80B | 1x |
| 18 | Sky (formerly Maker) SKY | 9/10 | 141/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $1.84B | 1x |
| 19 | Arweave AR | 8/10 | 140/250 | HOLD | $281.2M | 1.01x |
| 20 | Curve Finance CRV | 7/10 | 140/250 | HOLD | $526.7M | 1.93x |
| 21 | Injective INJ | 6/10 | 139/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $732.1M | 1x |
| 22 | Avalanche AVAX | 7/10 | 138/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $4.89B | 1.53x |
| 23 | Bitget Token BGB | 7/10 | 135/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $1.40B | 2.86x |
| 24 | NEAR Protocol NEAR | 6/10 | 135/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $6.43B | 1x |
| 25 | Synthetix SNX | 9/10 | 130/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $141.0M | 1x |
| 26 | Raydium RAY | 9/10 | 129/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $527.8M | 2.06x |
| 27 | Akash Network AKT | 6/10 | 129/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $196.0M | 1.3x |
| 28 | Render Network RENDER | 8/10 | 127/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $1.00B | 1.24x |
| 29 | UNUS SED LEO LEO | 8/10 | 126/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $8.33B | 1.07x |
| 30 | TRON TRX | 6/10 | 125/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $31.78B | 1x |
| 31 | Orca ORCA | 6/10 | 123/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $103.3M | 1.64x |
| 32 | Chiliz CHZ | 6/10 | 120/250 | CAUTIOUS HOLD | $165.9M | 1x |
| 33 | Compound COMP | 8/10 | 119/250 | WATCH | $236.9M | 1x |
| 34 | Monero XMR | 8/10 | 117/250 | WATCH | $10.14B | 1x |
| 35 | Quant QNT | 7/10 | 116/250 | WATCH | $3.44B | 1x |
| 36 | Kaspa KAS | 6/10 | 114/250 | WATCH | $1.27B | 1.04x |
| 37 | Cardano ADA | 7/10 | 113/250 | WATCH | $9.20B | 1.2x |
| 38 | Polygon (Legacy) MATIC | 6/10 | 110/250 | WATCH | $1.23B | 1x |
| 39 | Fetch.ai (ASI Alliance) FET | 6/10 | 109/250 | WATCH | $525.9M | 1.17x |
| 40 | THORChain RUNE | 8/10 | 106/250 | PASS | $244.4M | 1.08x |
Scores are from the research pass dated 18 Sept 2026 and do not move with price. Market caps are from the snapshot fetched 28 Sept 2026.
Common questions
- Which cryptocurrencies have no unlock overhang?
- 57 tokens qualify. Ethereum (ETH), Wrapped Lido Staked ETH (WSTETH), Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), Maple Finance (SYRUP) lead the list.
- What is the rule?
- A token qualifies when its Vesting Schedule variable (scored 1 to 10 across the universe on cliff releases, emission transparency, and how much supply is still locked) sits in the top quartile, and market capitalisation is at least $100M.
- Does appearing on this list mean a token is a buy?
- No. The list clears one stated rule as recorded at the scoring pass on 18 Sept 2026. Every row links to the full token page, where the weaknesses are listed next to the strengths.
Sources
- [CoinGecko /coins/markets] Market caps, snapshot fetched 28 Sept 2026.
- [Early Thunder scoring pass] All 25-variable scores and percentiles, pass dated 18 Sept 2026.
- Each token page carries its own claim-level source list, including sources whose links have gone dead (marked unverified, not dropped).